{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.392Z", "seo": { "title": "Lesotho exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lesotho to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LSO", "country_name": "Lesotho" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "all_history_lane_count": 118, "current_lane_count": 103, "current_product_count": 103, "first_observed_last_year": 2011, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 303951091.423915, "attention_trade_usd": 242819918.91382465, "critical_trade_usd": 14650123.500440642, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 188840661.36124685, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 48081132.42810342, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 170856479.85004774, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 303951091.423915, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 37, "high_volatility_lane_count": 87, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 41, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 59, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3594593286216348, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.062337645010675, "product_concentration_hhi": 564.2829158471542, "top1_product_share_pct": 12.352314561428557, "top3_product_share_pct": 32.36245970330676, "top_product_hs6": "510119", "top_product_trade_usd": 37544994.92557728, "top_product_description": "Wool: (other than shorn), greasy (including fleece-washed wool), not carded or combed", "top_attention_product_hs6": "510119", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 996.4764404296875, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 40, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6994, "buyer_population_latest": 60041.996, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5997022185294298, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.829491262325488, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4411476748953822, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.936, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.216, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 79.88782595788352, "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.819895013967357, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 419946.428126, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6994, "buyer_population_2024": 60041.996 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 23889212.70600032, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 10446764.21275717, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.26995187608996, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 8380261.978112535, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.781266165853594, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 2065122.224739626, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.35730708498987, "cagr_3y_pct": -55.78381102138157 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 253035600.23651236, "yoy_growth_pct": 12152.81473441193, "cagr_3y_pct": 189.3343156664688 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 29610419.779736355, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.297923394155, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.31020042706665 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 14669398.581537312, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.4586605301145, "cagr_3y_pct": 92.23045008145914 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 17610772.619773105, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.051088133481908, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.8661909734097 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 23099046.378683753, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.164298565461568, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.944481427164785 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 75720321.84328885, "yoy_growth_pct": 227.80713368827654, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.82240617052031 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 280020654.471389, "yoy_growth_pct": 269.809118153144, "cagr_3y_pct": 151.4609501366179 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 303534888.5695883, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.39732131281119, "cagr_3y_pct": 135.97800319092008 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 271080172.54108006, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.692252275002545, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.97780813224284 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 252137751.36578146, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.987756056717142, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4358468089265903 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 216376326.090636, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.183288730637422, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.66937442055047 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 240533772.7859879, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.16455165489445, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.9067748001617386 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 315135364.6998102, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.015017579339332, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.71753895976055 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 313339826.7996955, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5697671861820686, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.136294962627648 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 303382053.1844008, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.177946996715575, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.044983530479023 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 292889032.14618325, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4586821890349895, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4107481160797084 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 250898871.5322747, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.336542514487515, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.140208759509625 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 343022929.5092273, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.71760554933468, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.178417274271684 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 350504982.3005241, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.1812106852453272, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.168829400615317 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 341996884.9279705, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4273827198435405, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.87691848729242 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "export_value_usd": 370498071.7568079, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.333756266475989, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.601631531806725 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "510119", "hs_description": "Wool: (other than shorn), greasy (including fleece-washed wool), not carded or combed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37797074.67670585, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.411560515069636, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3913165524969815, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "853620", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: automatic circuit breakers, for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 76944271.61161095, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.677203672240658, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.879554920942436, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened", "risk_driver_labels": [ "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "630493", "hs_description": "Furnishing articles: of synthetic fibres, not knitted or crocheted (excluding bedspreads and articles of heading no. 9404)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35227323.23279165, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.750441414313292, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7228240676429628, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "620462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 144079473.52090746, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0982416018948238, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "110100", "hs_description": "Wheat or meslin flour", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27161438.809993632, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.922147747597303, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9834222139022962, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 223766424.31449306, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.38506851483048, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7556140258804256, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "630499", "hs_description": "Furnishing articles: of textile materials other than cotton or synthetic fibres, not knitted or crocheted (excluding bedspreads and articles of heading no. 9404)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15753054.838005474, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.9915011013234087, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 169385076.37728164, "current_below_peak_pct": 72.41320367775259, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9904027541966856, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "620463", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33730138.936001405, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3695324101025077, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "hs_code": "510219", "hs_description": "Hair: fine animal hair, not carded or combed, other than of kashmir (cashmere) goats", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12058004.573683593, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.25907389914872, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.622340467950474, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LSO", "importer_iso3": "ZAF", "distance_km": 350, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "importer_population": 60041.996, "importer_biz_entry_days": 40, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2518.468891, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1166.4616665439282, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-ZAF/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-ZAF/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-ZAF/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-ZAF/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-ZAF/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }