{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.787Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Lesotho exports to Eswatini: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Lesotho to Eswatini, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LSO",
    "country_name": "Lesotho"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWZ",
    "country_name": "Eswatini"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
    "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 3,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2012,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 528529.9417178454,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 305830.5840025853,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 528529.9417178454,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 528529.9417178454,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8482240498996947,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 55.62011359770717,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5123.697005761416,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.86438191345692,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "481910",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 305830.5840025853,
    "top_product_description": "Paper and paperboard: cartons, boxes and cases, of corrugated paper or paperboard",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 489.1472473144531,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 21.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4941.373182,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4215,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1172.369,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.026430242925347,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.018339043456572224,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0449609222195733,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.651999999999997,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 11.422,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4941.373182,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4215,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1172.369
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11740.1517172289,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 650964.1428707443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5444.767721488998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 410878.81940057117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.88149740650839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 146826.2787544674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -64.2653084506348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 132.11864545427397
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 717507.7702993909,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 388.6780325606799,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.297508648640335
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 1686.256791114721,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.76498417704785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -83.98955809066383
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 1670992.6039517696,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 98994.78869153371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 124.93493513944789
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 4509550.438384561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 169.87255525367493,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.54497038811849
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 337424.6062623419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.51755555520039,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 484.90366952659383
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 612530.6171279098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.53110524834624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.432185032970626
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 560772.9102072307,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.449815482426882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.086511335596114
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2181780.672316188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 289.06670286728405,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.29939596454048
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2338000.0912735634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.160179798986488,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.280781410166924
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7193784.129663614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 207.68964280685682,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 134.09391522314982
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7861680.4487640625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.284353089584307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.30915820739652
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 5980745.93007982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.925349433147534,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.76352203552118
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6852770.527911143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.580532395558322,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6057780391885879
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10619844.388303477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.97154537787523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.54376581598695
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7785871.874083785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.68563126349557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.190276664094178
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8768049.987835199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.614876402226848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.562276730016105
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 6864432.568150698,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.710841319627296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.537292685291757
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 10108452.716810748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.258387586346416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.091892819273228
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 11106588.513447702,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.874268838167644,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.199658065883696
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 7874775.211966146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.098163649157627,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.6834051120684395
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8052581.559868123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2579228373629245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.299199858291483
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "hs_code": "481910",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: cartons, boxes and cases, of corrugated paper or paperboard",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11655686.407028925,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.08865418824031,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8707842567156732,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
      "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
      "hs_code": "300490",
      "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20225214.091071673,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.36364876600258,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8172423654595827,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LSO",
    "importer_iso3": "SWZ",
    "distance_km": 490,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4941.373182,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4214.86168774507,
    "importer_population": 1172.369,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 21.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 10.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 2518.468891,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1166.4616665439282,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-SWZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-SWZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-SWZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-SWZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LSO-SWZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}