{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.535Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Sri Lanka exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Sri Lanka to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "ZMB",
    "country_name": "Zambia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 103542.63096264261,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 103542.63096264261,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 103542.63096264261,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.803618577073826,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 60.69846842252663,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "401180",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 103542.63096264261,
    "top_product_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6209.736328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.01600000075995922,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1121,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18920.656,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6556563915409939,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.1688252989154657,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8578853777657898,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 36.05800000000001,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 34.70399999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21203.05908,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1121,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18920.656
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 52832.08125469278,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 44865.23358030809,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.079564319978466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 148980.3081311765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 232.0618132178093,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 84607.0916186658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.20921155286535,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.995641294189422
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 99545.5091908097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.656223948074135,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.427923405271628
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 89307.3612157655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.28489186329804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.682161839289055
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 52666.18755957668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.028167395590366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.61628665928102
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 76032.15851279387,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.36617123042237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.59038441843072
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 218577.80044309687,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 187.48072489131945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.76370157998701
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 148659.04049817834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.988042611454837,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.325267004234604
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 119566.6166079217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.569898872455816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.28870655758177
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 222992.68967965528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.50079429016917,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6687922255374623
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 66612.69863677099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.12785543218263,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.477602618846028
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 115621.5032147342,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.57276552508529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.112160069419632
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 56440.70572039243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.18494038641774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.744163511224
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 109115.75846949685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.32812564402886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.880910735429122
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 142870.47810031404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.934779819409197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.308624706380895
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 161918.6232375081,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.332457055137548,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.09150765551384
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 400339.1610101667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 147.24713748518892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.23402756936078
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 479083.38527991064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.669378351858068,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.67739080390914
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 843675.6186546708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.10204080897994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.36425809646146
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 370537.24693041056,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.08060269404596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.545641907833429
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 355018.7364691497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.188110801226774,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.507332964619831
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 755380.3183713363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.77195842788346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.617825094715088
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 1025809.727636427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.80043094691152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.41439968809575
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 581190.6021526812,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.34323544661589,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.857105185768972
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 366546.7986398876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.93174024455506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.41832978835906
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 901882.3122829852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 146.0483397016477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.200990486703993
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 753451.5032844385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.457891121383174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.038258573428903
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "export_value_usd": 666777.5425240621,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.50358853656116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.072314179431075
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
      "hs_code": "401180",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on construction, mining or industrial handling vehicles and machines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 67574158.3353849,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 60.69846842252663,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8036185770738261,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
    "importer_iso3": "ZMB",
    "distance_km": 6200,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065,
    "importer_population": 18920.656,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.54900142464647,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-ZMB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-ZMB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-ZMB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-ZMB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-ZMB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}