{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.939Z", "seo": { "title": "Sri Lanka exports to Saudi Arabia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sri Lanka to Saudi Arabia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SAU", "country_name": "Saudi Arabia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "all_history_lane_count": 194, "current_lane_count": 99, "current_product_count": 99, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 109470805.19755511, "attention_trade_usd": 15672231.583587306, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 28996237.264024217, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10399040.805936094, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 26377201.86680388, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 7, "high_volatility_lane_count": 71, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 44, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 59, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7663488381076092, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.673436734555192, "product_concentration_hhi": 1851.9702292482282, "top1_product_share_pct": 33.35888054780749, "top3_product_share_pct": 64.408388246321, "top_product_hs6": "090230", "top_product_trade_usd": 36518235.14057544, "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "080310", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4038.689697265625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23586, "buyer_population_latest": 35340.679, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.8811275779533165, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.503293336407065, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.2635041192047964, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.332, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 43.605999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 14.316357274713207, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 833541.2365690001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23586, "buyer_population_2024": 35340.679 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 28108160.316698913, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 22926827.640878137, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.433553165493265, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 28673530.485043153, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.065407801639083, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 31255251.55313003, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.003847884841276, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.6008993672948186 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 33165790.268371377, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.11269665193277, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.096403556329728 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 39399628.281581014, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.79598816360648, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.17410749459915 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 29563256.922019117, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.965645079855527, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8380690087552942 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 27706158.459370703, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.281778991898623, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.819283978906043 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 30838118.408629637, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.304201388481028, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.842238822434744 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 30854319.33308047, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.052535385707264126, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4350149278553603 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 38388895.62720092, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.41984285176646, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.483287816151243 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 31617098.879018117, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.639988432969044, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8350184112539738 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 51077481.10280774, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.55018301411586, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.296301637989544 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 54572880.75890103, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.843328176379382, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.440755165037508 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 36978065.02874084, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.24095097323667, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.359585845740877 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 42040106.65254715, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.689309107634195, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.284495864849027 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 66111493.07311915, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.25814784324184, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.602329540185559 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 66394253.22515671, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.427701960572624, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.542669168432703 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 71065315.52185884, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.035341267958217, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.123641196193763 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 83272412.25551344, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.177291965867436, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.996096940920427 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 105231814.16792205, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.370560570562397, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.592922669501498 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 85627978.61137532, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.629190907289896, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.41087175673547 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 98800851.57596534, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.383842031791307, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.865189866803022 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 109011894.64770234, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.334974758680083, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.183324229970184 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 109222179.50356707, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.19290083577054862, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.450539184376925 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 95215651.9337135, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.823885801872448, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2245039995317453 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 96494898.42341465, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3435254222611714, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.984026736996382 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 117030638.42400101, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.281684665314216, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3284145236346587 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 115772764.83872783, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0748241675961, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.733156477438729 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "export_value_usd": 130339153.33809501, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.581878406081293, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.541031820854375 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090230", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128015066.20133072, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5578929081895763, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133527811.96582964, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39424325692816825, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080310", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69659308.54301241, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.391709819228787, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8677715148558582, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "401290", "hs_description": "Rubber: tyres n.e.c. in heading no. 4012", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12096185.68102691, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.980915748201816, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9353300779746648, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146543792.61753187, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.278315933874374, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1341497024797629, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090710", "hs_description": "Spices: cloves (whole fruit, cloves and stems), neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29322221.089052968, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.46839746966447, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.132880561767512, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "030229", "hs_description": "Fish: flat fish, fresh or chilled, n.e.s. in item no. 0302.2 (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11047301.583842816, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.12357174145215, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.265280272259344, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "401693", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), gaskets, washers and other seals, of non-cellular rubber", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 147635991.79237702, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.130746614108187, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7573440416251822, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "611610", "hs_description": "Gloves, mittens and mitts: knitted or crocheted, impregnated, coated or covered with plastics or rubber", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22778428.78806923, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.549925675971177, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "hs_code": "090210", "hs_description": "Tea, green: (not fermented), in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14516820.46602748, "current_below_peak_pct": 23.031007280363134, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7010069554455676, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "SAU", "distance_km": 4039, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 833541.2365690001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23585.886297459085, "importer_population": 35340.679, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.92094824989899, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-SAU/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-SAU/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-SAU/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-SAU/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-SAU/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }