{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.975Z", "seo": { "title": "Sri Lanka exports to Portugal: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sri Lanka to Portugal, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PRT", "country_name": "Portugal" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "all_history_lane_count": 43, "current_lane_count": 15, "current_product_count": 15, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 8791241.410203353, "attention_trade_usd": 6789247.220869646, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7871714.762303032, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 416652.6675707069, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1439210.7133181735, "access_friction_trade_usd": 8791241.410203353, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10, "access_friction_lane_count": 15, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1721343509909097, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.007130008066241, "product_concentration_hhi": 6040.360493175091, "top1_product_share_pct": 77.22740059202404, "top3_product_share_pct": 87.17571051311577, "top_product_hs6": "611610", "top_product_trade_usd": 6789247.220869646, "top_product_description": "Gloves, mittens and mitts: knitted or crocheted, impregnated, coated or covered with plastics or rubber", "top_attention_product_hs6": "611610", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 9449.490234375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.03200000151991844, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6844912583424247, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.3653678115795473, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.5550453152891395, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 249886.464355, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24262, "buyer_population_latest": 10299.423, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.462941650481978, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.644844908749368, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7817840835313117, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.083999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.34, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 77.22740059202404, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 249886.464355, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24262, "buyer_population_2024": 10299.423 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 3627362.123657195, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4533642.759306839, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.98456467136261, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4233800.714557301, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.6137113281369615, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 5336317.237155204, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.04082234685874, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.732235424859107 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 5184534.985259838, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.844325874004461, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.573305952676732 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 7140875.054826088, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.734147327162894, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.034725316953804 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4967445.026135484, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.436466287443498, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.359391669025146 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 3279559.5949248048, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.97894535984026, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.157589192792674 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4758158.4805403305, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.08528791194075, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.656788513093053 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 7147545.175713694, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.216626977545054, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.894975365871542 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4611169.539705727, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.48596858997405, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.029359854677457 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 3752483.1866292064, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.621877718495682, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.609648938860259 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 5095013.924467486, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.77712866567839, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.670242418209586 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4946060.103876049, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9235213642130664, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.364514996167766 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4537365.804539683, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.263027354157837, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.535662985414525 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4087567.9693201506, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.913193130020625, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.080569929745495 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 6408579.72751788, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.7822180724193, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.018650232660153 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4196827.292089419, "yoy_growth_pct": -34.51236513343805, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5670688576114764 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 4231902.988040672, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8357669618038965, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.163436084421554 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 7343865.930949785, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.53578169687486, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.645602484453715 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 5255906.838718386, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.431334556802867, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.789267450120918 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 8170391.616454349, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.45160649092931, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.51902839811051 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 10039369.413165918, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.875008744349955, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.984049014414566 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 12868259.366955714, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.17796454506305, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.77956458369276 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 11537234.44076511, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.343472945599231, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.189690042354883 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 11770890.27021049, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.025232568905677, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.44701544499786 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 14323307.309136325, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.68414606145328, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.63533001606291 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 18325406.276010692, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.94116526649939, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.676653609876713 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 11159680.173385013, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.1026861543918, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7617059008689484 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "export_value_usd": 14515469.702295544, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.070660420124163, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.44521697660833137 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "611610", "hs_description": "Gloves, mittens and mitts: knitted or crocheted, impregnated, coated or covered with plastics or rubber", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22116581.03068017, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1944938592774774, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "540231", "hs_description": "Yarn, synthetic: filament, monofilament (less than 67 decitex), textured, of nylon or other polyamides, measuring per single yarn not more than 50 decitex, not for retail sale, not sewing thread", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10547216.791286997, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.702301182684641, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 74770496.76179749, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.52267857084565, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5424195473041167, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "401290", "hs_description": "Rubber: tyres n.e.c. in heading no. 4012", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17321266.29965361, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.62717119327512, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5612744030112926, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "030289", "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, n.e.c. in heading 0302, excluding fillets, livers, roes, and other fish meat of heading 0304", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37577729.62449882, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.31473199465619, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.449139462230803, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "610822", "hs_description": "Briefs and panties: women's or girls', of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20487351.752356403, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.865658091681954, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.074542143099785, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "871200", "hs_description": "Bicycles and other cycles: including delivery tricycles, not motorised", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50483221.223695576, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.290019632046, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9436569652371882, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "401519", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), gloves other than surgical gloves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20654536.107231107, "current_below_peak_pct": 87.18352136308334, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.357300735842145, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "270300", "hs_description": "Peat: (including peat litter), whether or not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11736399.46780568, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.24138658215923, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5037574502255042, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "hs_code": "401170", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on agricultural or forestry vehicles and machines", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28422708.8430303, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6146204798067155, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PRT", "distance_km": 9447, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 249886.46435499997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24262.180935281518, "importer_population": 10299.423, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.6844912583424247, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.3653678115795473, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.5550453152891395 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PRT/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PRT/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PRT/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PRT/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PRT/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }