{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.975Z", "seo": { "title": "Sri Lanka exports to the Philippines: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sri Lanka to the Philippines, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PHL", "country_name": "Philippines" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "all_history_lane_count": 78, "current_lane_count": 27, "current_product_count": 27, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 11087877.109924445, "attention_trade_usd": 6758634.771909647, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2023301.759716847, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4088273.3767728605, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 11027429.300204424, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 12, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 25, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8986932925637392, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.288459021313486, "product_concentration_hhi": 1529.5502662065896, "top1_product_share_pct": 25.701082872514508, "top3_product_share_pct": 60.95517387958949, "top_product_hs6": "230230", "top_product_trade_usd": 2849704.484824248, "top_product_description": "Bran, sharps and other residues: of wheat, whether or not in the form of pellets, derived from the sifting, milling or other workings thereof", "top_attention_product_hs6": "230230", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4567.65673828125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.055000003427267075, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 33, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3549, "buyer_population_latest": 111046.913, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.14271163092057, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.220520105972713, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.893418793085976, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.322000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.036000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 60.95517387958949, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 394086.419343, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3549, "buyer_population_2024": 111046.913 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 4238555.776595207, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 3262639.5976133207, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.02473366920821, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 5388150.058899723, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.1469583965465, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 9550096.467736388, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.24258536493964, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.098166751408396 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 1252920.0592844824, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.88055075132183, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.31389119445543 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 2997645.8840422095, "yoy_growth_pct": 139.25276491734877, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.754234241675558 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 3418437.8931299043, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.03741553756419, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.99755373806284 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 5632915.826698695, "yoy_growth_pct": 64.78040563554677, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.04535256290211 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 6858865.918077622, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.764040669100915, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.7722601820436 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 6090772.845009501, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.198543348743561, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.23133927427019 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 7959461.719860087, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.68065288925861, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.214801511023431 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 9583018.853086535, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.397825762204768, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.793531755931163 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 5797278.109221859, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.50467803415988, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.632739315028875 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 3519539.088950108, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.289800788554565, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.815369619237536 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 11531726.476446936, "yoy_growth_pct": 227.64876834730353, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.364653598944492 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 8099596.802788431, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.762496367464873, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.792608137193895 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 11319734.610440144, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.756766738600156, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.610352498661214 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 8994514.30457917, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.541296999281535, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.949151789765252 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 8689960.111268632, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.385999321336197, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.372850062866183 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 24956739.09055225, "yoy_growth_pct": 187.1904907617448, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.151905627108142 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 21322265.710084304, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.563094029555456, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.33736797601583 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 17150049.665440336, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.567414182774822, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.43417171761657 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 26360033.073178876, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.702371639762056, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8402298180887566 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 30119293.012182727, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.26121101050084, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.202829112008873 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 29783712.94176748, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.1141698122844712, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.200004833312747 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 10122542.542796502, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.01316107703599, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.31448253586677 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 8528833.986247083, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.74415271471048, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.33283067505254 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 10318595.757600226, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.98483537420437, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.766024173627727 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 13347112.034585914, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.350081620893185, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.656041739218079 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "export_value_usd": 15435874.603610376, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.649546985234885, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.86543048639742 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "230230", "hs_description": "Bran, sharps and other residues: of wheat, whether or not in the form of pellets, derived from the sifting, milling or other workings thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15266887.925382363, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.79616262639558, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9630348340976008, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "490700", "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 123891389.52687189, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.58374978253681, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6771872475306334, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "871640", "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: n.e.c. in item no. 8716.3", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10351568.504334243, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0002304616813307, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "871639", "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20860735.457957156, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9842492390165059, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "401120", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 253452284.74159896, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.3033838936101, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.930543984236486, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "610990", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of textile materials (other than cotton), knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60626380.21283997, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.08630011649493, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9838528375850724, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "401519", "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), gloves other than surgical gloves", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19233722.43664727, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.230472513094956, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7629481248104962, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "620462", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90532922.57758693, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.12613160492825, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "691110", "hs_description": "Tableware and kitchenware: of porcelain or china", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73864854.94627821, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.74158752484762, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9426066091770529, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "hs_code": "621210", "hs_description": "Brassieres: whether or not knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65403760.35565471, "current_below_peak_pct": 52.412335022078175, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6769424891434067, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "PHL", "distance_km": 4571, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 394086.419343, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3548.828226706311, "importer_population": 111046.913, "importer_biz_entry_days": 33, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.392619136161613, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PHL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PHL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PHL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PHL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-PHL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }