{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.544Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Sri Lanka exports to Republic of Moldova: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Sri Lanka to Republic of Moldova, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MDA",
    "country_name": "Republic of Moldova"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
    "importer_iso3": "MDA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 4,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2011,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 92576.0962674507,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 34886.96983284038,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 92576.0962674507,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6164189572907185,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5303.336118493882,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 62.3153586730936,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "852580",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 57689.12643461032,
    "top_product_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6575.5654296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13679.221333000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5315,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2573.928,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.170672417488102,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.45369402374179,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -2.048403712637259,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.576,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.6899999999999995,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13679.221333000001,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5315,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2573.928
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 275644.1923833378,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 347729.06887765205,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.151422190700814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 397782.2299741574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.394298773484614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 408202.36470894463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.6195576246490937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.983561630936059
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 252992.05151887823,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.02288438498734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.059500939529919
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 558042.8156659531,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.57721272887973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.945690910378737
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 641922.9711785548,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.03113258657427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.28824072308417
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 608908.3117641076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.143087394712353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.01343586099506
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 779021.185977667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.937354594604646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.761935885273811
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 847756.7558758114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.823324851156865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.714184848200947
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 953913.142501393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.522033695374347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.141021992370398
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 954370.0923864038,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.04790267212511079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.0013320310531535
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1620535.3299506635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 69.80156260958603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.106848664058322
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1967851.0856271859,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.432161907083902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.29982290221782
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1874378.8492521446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.749964926601658,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.231481380508548
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 2157518.8173254076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.105802553535685,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.009965758392635
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 2330494.4859431176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.017342292853847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.79990628185536
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 2352043.2451908295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.92464321961232,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.860552982633884
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 2365078.5598640167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5542123725760684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.109099259430992
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 2587181.865536333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.390948336409032,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.5443229981210855
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1911443.926303001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.118687218505563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.68056804078444
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1246868.5019558768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.76824065838571,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.216060584221907
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 816928.0456680894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.48161980300003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.90441594695078
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 712722.3721075619,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.755795827196426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.02423717287954
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 718012.7436781845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7422766251855784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.80373438623357
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 685596.3646208904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.514735893298183,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.674691694442413
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 998478.7860358709,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.63653449183516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.893832769936608
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1090315.8420448394,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.197697266416348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.940581504890304
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1045760.6950463104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.08644406330626,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.11217758778287
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "export_value_usd": 1495133.517218118,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.970903792851736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.405537297746918
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "852580",
      "hs_description": "Television cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10093243.675007096,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "MDA",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15410490.940562123,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6357299302477437,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
    "importer_iso3": "MDA",
    "distance_km": 6562,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973,
    "importer_population": 2573.928,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-MDA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-MDA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-MDA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-MDA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-MDA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}