{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.415Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Sri Lanka exports to Iraq: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Sri Lanka to Iraq, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LKA",
    "country_name": "Sri Lanka"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRQ",
    "country_name": "Iraq"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
    "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 24,
    "current_lane_count": 7,
    "current_product_count": 7,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2008,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 156926855.581,
    "attention_trade_usd": 156205301.126,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7134376.109999999,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 141219.363,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 156926855.581,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8523718574784104,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.704213730771134,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5517.170498040365,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 69.55684848961938,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.54019695843101,
    "top_product_hs6": "090230",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 109153375.17599998,
    "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090230",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 4685.76708984375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 26.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 207889.333724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5048,
    "buyer_population_latest": 41179.352,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.660252055014901,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3781431650274456,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.2510857061887046,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.198,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.338,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.54019695843101,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 207889.333724,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5048,
    "buyer_population_2024": 41179.352
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 12037267.507066527,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 13983800.830945762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.17089030161134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 15840121.340360295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.274792253237377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 16421890.453323308,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6727566693613545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.908563309586917
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 14111628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.068188189964326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.30377921672108954
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 17847106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.47092171080474,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.056632321671194
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 19060918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.8011698927546105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.092943000978267
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 22708750,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.13775611436972,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.185003302695435
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 8723489,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.58534045246876,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.227588992892375
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 10817340,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.002449020111104,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.207266341893877
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 20232765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.04011337352806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.775129335141447
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 24302706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.115594680213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.708868844355386
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 26438379.999999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.787803300587171,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.70119649425054
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 42474383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.6542571821723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.04342442775518
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 37438504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.856273462524458,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.492722168263073
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 52064745,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.067375662232664,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.343832183521076
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 85578330,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.3690562587025,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.30258604118163
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 87168888,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8585990168305422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.54021571775918
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 86714833.99768722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.520889978902539,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.535895169026052
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 98696033.80173449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.816782263997451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.868558354489938
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 94726263.07926628,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.022219099951762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.810222653340033
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 111696475.99999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.915003050984012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.80495945739861
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 146902181.84729722,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.519083777806234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.17635698443236
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 149598386.3526553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8353740369634108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.45339872268461
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 126346112.915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.543131182472525,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.193542653683036
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 119502243.24099998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.41676314063122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.649652880002643
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 189753709.37300003,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.786734229184326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.24830925896105
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 164317285.89450005,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.404967714491123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.1542012239074
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 130502119.05399998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.579190227260145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9786439551171107
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "export_value_usd": 159324386.93700007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.085670402849033,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.659683869607601
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "090230",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 176271106.28235385,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9024375978794491,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 124273721.54079692,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.893453070363485,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6836482909803836,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "080111",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: coconuts, fresh or dried, whether or not shelled or peeled, desiccated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14383107.711014124,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.146456238448252,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0182438922188424,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "392329",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: sacks and bags (including cones), for the conveyance or packing of goods, of plastics other than ethylene polymers",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32330620.58155038,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.707893954244316,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5697058525490328,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "401519",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: vulcanised (other than hard rubber), gloves other than surgical gloves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12040186.184465893,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.148493206269857,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.666095679590967,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "871639",
      "hs_description": "Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34349528.68582753,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.55203553112154,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5038979937601242,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
      "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
      "hs_code": "392321",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: sacks and bags (including cones), for the conveyance or packing of goods",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17719053.73789834,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 85.2638848154415,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.718451515603616,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LKA",
    "importer_iso3": "IRQ",
    "distance_km": 4678,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 207889.333724,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5048.387690121982,
    "importer_population": 41179.352,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 26.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 34.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-IRQ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-IRQ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-IRQ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-IRQ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-IRQ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}