{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.012Z", "seo": { "title": "Sri Lanka exports to Belarus: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Sri Lanka to Belarus, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 2011, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3311629.5490899705, "attention_trade_usd": 2701555.257082274, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 121509.45180349555, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2701555.257082274, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2738301.3282095715, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6274682788149778, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 50.21566057493801, "product_concentration_hhi": 6833.603387689432, "top1_product_share_pct": 81.57782194643892, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.02256497296082, "top_product_hs6": "090230", "top_product_trade_usd": 2701555.257082274, "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090230", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 7005.93505859375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.534295208045977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417624, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.623247981609195, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.12258194980843, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7304, "buyer_population_latest": 9340.314, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3542249002150193, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9960922051038628, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6172032922380555, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.812, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.426000000000005, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 81.57782194643892, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7304, "buyer_population_2024": 9340.314 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1169554.6982920687, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1112320.8706818237, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.893642656801345, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1367191.5497726535, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.913413369165745, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 2386198.811157696, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.53288177172324, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.831957608980872 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1179359.6287899232, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.57580184537343, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9699149421905204 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1145392.114234429, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.8801659583978068, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.729688724699733 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1293755.5405426037, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.953068601082474, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.45790488120944 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1567288.467609094, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.1425511616955, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.942994164624785 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1965909.7289817026, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.43381576594559, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.730040035272324 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 2582504.6482838085, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.364355657443554, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.91079412872621 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4144893.156558599, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.49896209530807, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.289158544845826 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5659839.309447893, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.54970334982328, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.25913917383368 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 7076521.270388616, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.03042725216378, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.93496220636838 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 9947539.358871708, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.57103736120651, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.88567382583923 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 7377989.235123195, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.831012384553787, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.239064436787036 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 8117441.701749963, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.022411839618538, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.68066043460984 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 7304558.209328249, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.014035484190442, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.782089844516339 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 7947578.573681901, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.803001440011604, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.509851490476267 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 7925074.173448234, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2831604623349082, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7962584008406659 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5959352.407594772, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.803827987368454, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.559524889796031 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4613610.1242664885, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.58202219444566, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.580287824386343 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 3752185.0345490803, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.67138892353556, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.06001752974864 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5337201.209204626, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.24248431410382, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6086263911215166 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5939062.631756865, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.276723491598162, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.782492288722343 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 6769538.228570884, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.98327729991209, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.737655257813525 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5937853.791835366, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.285689343261087, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.618819772695092 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 6340949.580691632, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.788577202936996, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.206566329391868 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 6050130.884548776, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.5863587534019645, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6758375123388864 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 5995585.783203132, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9015524190550073, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3230454068926747 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 6216874.420058355, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.690859323123541, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6565438616107699 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "090230", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32038366.652179092, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.98057949904835, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6027017469882515, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "853890", "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the apparatus of heading no. 8535, 8536 or 8537", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30711412.13527178, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.166063535002742, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6013394308157511, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 97825189.8423938, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4141779988257477, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "848190", "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15827795.95135399, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "620342", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: men's or boys', of cotton (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20833951.535164494, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.85697032591044, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8163062466354007, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LKA", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "distance_km": 6991, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "importer_population": 9340.314, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.534295208045977, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417624, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.623247981609195, "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.12258194980843 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-BLR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-BLR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-BLR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-BLR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LKA-BLR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }