{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:17.373Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Libya exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Libya to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LBY",
    "country_name": "Libya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 14,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "attention_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "critical_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0802696332481228,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 55.79240060374882,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 539483636.8197776,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 8955.5166015625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233,
    "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233,
    "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 7718892.860943577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 4867364.821416758,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.94218964943946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 2127024.5689051906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.30028471368884,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 15122559.67212601,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 610.972496190291,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.128651618227373
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 10043937.951345345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.58308269823931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.312205203282947
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 7103662.697780631,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.274128014409694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.4754748580746
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 3996201.134460965,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.74449767006136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.82872366230846
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1701188.4766159623,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.42985852373944,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.671426862326804
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 10828915.756536782,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 536.5500298989724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.089105456867458
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 626697.4704829935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -94.21274036502969,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.07333855123906
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 2024086.5920688875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 222.97666536118794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.964132068853023
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 2732150.0038513816,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.98187353035911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.81123680858291
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 19812445.798620753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 625.1595179873759,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 216.19867802999647
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 14366057.94199292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.489730000962243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 92.17763384194761
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 6995266.270638461,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.306988327042426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.80434890472735
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 17995777.46766814,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 157.2565042048879,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.154932195194504
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 90666226.9976407,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 403.81944964886844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.80028778002011
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 17619341.646711715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.56680835834251,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.05937620262414
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 56937066.64459125,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 223.1509314379937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.80521776084519
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 27668458.973288167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.40519067131017,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.6744656002351
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 32112239.487788834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.060816826809198,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.150047188091882
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 60008191.851174824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.87015545581569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.766573196820187
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 104190581.8310328,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.62726423991224,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.57787334829787
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 326662031.83604217,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 213.52357007257547,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 116.67527428363434
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 452024537.6472385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.37682178935265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 96.02757010367601
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 230903625.90569404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.91790009729693,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.37693381728417
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 783039208.5854905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 239.11949434059574,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.83250797358828
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1220552713.861821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.873767300448506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.25095319903278
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 924797521.8233883,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.231251029106726,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.80785074486678
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 540027531.025647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.60586309088554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.649136705910468
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28414116761.40513,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 55.79240060374882,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0802696332481228,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "distance_km": 8953,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "importer_population": 69950.844,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 41879.579677,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6018.445207455935,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-THA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-THA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-THA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-THA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-THA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}