{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.955Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Libya exports to Serbia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Libya to Serbia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LBY",
    "country_name": "Libya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SRB",
    "country_name": "Serbia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
    "importer_iso3": "SRB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 13,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2006,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 11742544.23500104,
    "attention_trade_usd": 10691468.771226771,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 163490.28276792023,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9301601.043110346,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 10854959.053994691,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7497647306681308,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 71.34992614412924,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6473.8392577739005,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 79.21282523582099,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 98.60770988385461,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 9301601.043110346,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.836286255256834,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 12.018236663180426,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -1.0551410583952703,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 91.0489971956731,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 377210.43210711575,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 1539111.0946786543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 308.0245305203001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 55868772.52543768,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3529.937612599845,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 29517881.03237748,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -47.16568899211513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 327.7274878194586
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 45794232.0253798,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.14064839257657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 209.87052680586024
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 11446162.19617918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.00523168543243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.04822010722909
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 2684.029132997094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.97655083785294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -95.50322992186784
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 2572.2339961841362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.165198337028597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -96.17028404133843
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 130557.63651356964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4975.651620624312,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.4897253151568
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 13983.276687565642,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.28957580653486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.35667765658846
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 31368.173919321664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 124.3263479668911,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.17576106444432
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 799.495769444685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.45125179584578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -81.70476621304708
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 144770.2358103916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18007.692541130808,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 117.94995158967
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 5296433.756059227,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3558.510139470982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 452.7109930971033
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 4101472.2768638018,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.561624183977848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1624.6773907385477
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 30730440.82142224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 649.2538958454287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 496.5266300109312
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "export_value_usd": 11854511.238027731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.42420700400779,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.807718010291275
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 889832937.1242232,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 82.66701932526207,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.858839624001992,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "260111",
      "hs_description": "Iron ores and concentrates: non-agglomerated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53324678.363999635,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.56876782669128,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.32951114679153964,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 780795065.3324084,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "SRB",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 155819936.05511463,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1871946038539165,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
    "importer_iso3": "SRB",
    "distance_km": 1467,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63068.134601000005,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9214.993546391494,
    "importer_population": 6844.078,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 41879.579677,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6018.445207455935,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.247825097777777,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-SRB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-SRB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-SRB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-SRB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-SRB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}