{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.941Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Libya exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Libya to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LBY",
    "country_name": "Libya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 142,
    "current_lane_count": 16,
    "current_product_count": 16,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 30326250.903391495,
    "attention_trade_usd": 15023516.625943774,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 8663518.331179442,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 14537578.393019807,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 16193193.211417146,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 4,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 9,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 9,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8694714538081326,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 49.58592919104777,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1864.9278605375428,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 25.810121729488394,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 68.33437299036954,
    "top_product_hs6": "720837",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 7827242.274155418,
    "top_product_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "720690",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 1746.240234375,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9702000021934509,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.02468552026263,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.003292993408080808,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.733080147197974,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876,
    "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 49.53964363680589,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876,
    "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 90431106.178169,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 69981112.11121336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.61389352759292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 68749848.10667136,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7594233178022112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 82703772.2183248,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.2966617322597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.933547327276287
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 52479631.60635057,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.545056895575826,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.147549448822623
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 48368104.17835121,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.8345203694261905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.060276679043234
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 34426454.415543675,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.82405667875565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.334096256683956
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 48142570.925675906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.84179243256416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8343335684200777
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 46834336.847594105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7174163176733934,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0683839559623376
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 67086691.27039761,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.24253482804225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.905441454156897
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 129137917.36842124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.49409223048698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.944544625465994
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 153440495.28662783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.819087695888005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.5223704884846
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 185390266.60431898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.822255075499307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.32989018755866
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 281112943.96145153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.633065268434386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.60119968922097
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 218632394.01264724,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.226137675599922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.527371103253948
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 314468463.3464796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.83434109416034,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.26052673870524
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 42776059.387045115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.39734524351502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.61245175461619
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 130959294.08313857,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 206.1509076799161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.703940866246446
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 74430546.78240183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.165128291581865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.14264150546004
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 81578820.32200164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.603951399816847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.01062099613547
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 94650247.19468686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.023064345734216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.25812432705604
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 71029348.64638104,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.95598188953464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5470181357617796
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 35652128.90113138,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.80648199573788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.112656707745927
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 55032974.165646076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.36097608157047,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.535766272247198
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 106960119.29592343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 94.35642161366683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.620249332047152
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 24683874.02962207,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.9223574243313,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.5340896139444
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 61946515.67343499,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 150.95945473994723,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.023461128170069
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 63850336.01981292,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.073329186768703,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.799674672944974
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 43092689.895493135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.50984633483939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.410241537028128
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 35518009.28381099,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.577646301616333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.92368118669173
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "720837",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141617125.93333292,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.25358606166908,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8258079928130674,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "720690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: primary forms (excluding ingots and iron of heading no. 7203)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10046771.481691036,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.624471439836531,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "250300",
      "hs_description": "Sulphur of all kinds: other than sublimed, precipitated and colloidal sulphur",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38667290.19406377,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 62.781949728270334,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6043436927480844,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "720719",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, other than rectangular or square cross-section",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 528094280.9099647,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.96957693313958,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1160275205447454,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "271113",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, butanes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 498355672.2664706,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.39046275777655,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.57469265915195,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "720840",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, with patterns in relief",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35093100.85089159,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.49656545000586,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2837810492853385,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "721420",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: bars and rods, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or hot-extruded, containing indentations, ribs, grooves or other deformations produced during the rolling process or twisted after rolling",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69859694.79405665,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 98.15127998157895,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8947580268822158,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "760429",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: alloys, bars, rods and profiles, other than hollow",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17654218.31110505,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5648838161772405,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "721631",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: U sections, hot-rolled, hot-drawn or extruded, of a height of 80mm or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24877823.486917853,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.6091003318437,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2204105936263792,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "843049",
      "hs_description": "Boring and sinking machinery: not self-propelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16243315.627827704,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.21727757584064,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2182013514443346,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LBY",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "distance_km": 1742,
    "shares_land_border": 1,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "importer_population": 104258.324,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 41879.579677,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6018.445207455935,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.02468552026263,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.003292993408080808,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.733080147197974
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-EGY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-EGY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-EGY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-EGY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBY-EGY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}