{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.504Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Lebanon exports to World excl. Intra-EU: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to World excl. Intra-EU, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "WXD",
    "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
    "importer_iso3": "WXD",
    "all_history_lane_count": 38,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 294721,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 250353,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 24020,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 24020,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 2,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4579661962842887,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 4.64105685483372,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5089.377563786682,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 68.62049192286943,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.0958431872856,
    "top_product_hs6": "441820",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 202239,
    "top_product_description": "Wood: doors and their frames and thresholds",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 384488.86104032793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 393433.336531834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.326328899959451,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 190740,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.51910570634459,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 307552,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.24148054943903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.172155864155383
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 891178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 189.76498283217148,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.330147979570366
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 192124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.44156835110383,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2412823768715988
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 335297,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.52114259540714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9209305143376163
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 572263.9999999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.67376087468718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.726518676087506
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 663836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.001705506549445,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.17955414512399
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1330000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 100.35068902560269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.297476311733035
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 526000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -60.451127819548866,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7708611340329314
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 976613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 85.66787072243346,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.733193408275746
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1149069,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.658581239446946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.757345936686619
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 994948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.412684529823704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.672046196895046
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 773580,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.249202973421724,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.4746129125065845
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1442569.070314788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.47962335049873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.877325130145985
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 2574149,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.44199303665134,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.28121032519005
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 2992879,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.266735142371314,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.986139115362235
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1616017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.004599584547194,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8571584964422145
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1417467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.286380650698604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.035380885058906
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 937351.9609999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.87133802762252,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.089356700795555
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 270081,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.18681015913508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.917196511566495
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 506868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 87.67258711275505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.021420152096468
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 696225.593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.358364110577114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.43735521150597
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1069692.6400000004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.64167171602385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.217672549855905
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 856016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.975517453312598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.086446467640283
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 2583203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 201.77041083344238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.81136890888014
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1631343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.84805259207271,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.105327636765931
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1134355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.4649604650892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.838780507184142
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "export_value_usd": 1442774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.18893115470906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.6469053482336
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "441820",
      "hs_description": "Wood: doors and their frames and thresholds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19956665.059941728,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5622652466867069,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "391739",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tubes, pipes and hoses thereof, n.e.s. in item no. 3917.30",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10310294.382052828,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6190487227524484,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "320910",
      "hs_description": "Paints and varnishes: based on acrylic or vinyl polymers, dispersed or dissolved in an aqueous medium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14383905.634607626,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.94491745684633,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7424942178978376,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "WXD",
      "hs_code": "730830",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, doors, windows and their frames and thresholds for doors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19337658.42473955,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8850340451155682,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
    "importer_iso3": "WXD",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "shares_ethnic_language": null,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": null,
    "shared_colonial_history": null,
    "has_fta": null,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": null,
    "importer_is_wto": null,
    "exporter_is_eu": null,
    "importer_is_eu": null,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "importer_population": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-WXD/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-WXD/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-WXD/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-WXD/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-WXD/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}