{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.732Z", "seo": { "title": "Lebanon exports to Tunisia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to Tunisia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TUN", "country_name": "Tunisia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "all_history_lane_count": 55, "current_lane_count": 20, "current_product_count": 20, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4177979.4398068744, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1341026.3417856016, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1897131.7123518584, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 748531.548346557, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 9, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7631020515099735, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.11990827066047, "product_concentration_hhi": 984.899292322699, "top1_product_share_pct": 17.87140098605352, "top3_product_share_pct": 43.965794785648484, "top_product_hs6": "392010", "top_product_trade_usd": 746663.4588027591, "top_product_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polymers of ethylene, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 2311.9462890625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9825968146324158, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 46840.042941, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3924, "buyer_population_latest": 11935.764, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.1414499246600345, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4502902984167916, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6681079620458386, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.352000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.254000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 46840.042941, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3924, "buyer_population_2024": 11935.764 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 2511030.093490889, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 3632766.4506934052, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.67235817325685, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 2895966.403331866, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.28206484952817, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 2456982.5556230894, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.158457888313793, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7226784008305676 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 2837010.457704366, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.46726089737751, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.91098673540287 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 4596819.555081207, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.030405725075546, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.650869141508217 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 6618450.463827295, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.97890507821715, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.1398133890219 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 8893310.496981077, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.371489906691586, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.35273389801788 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 3703606.1082008006, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.355146720020336, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.948699950520298 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 5028521.015848556, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.77364517014998, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.75102761596449 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 7967014.87120401, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.43654319220515, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.599920773910281 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 7126032.07246366, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.55580807034765, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.37726242742544 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 14615138.738048272, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.0950457341322, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.709940240558986 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 17038770.95401464, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.58302572015149, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.83905943993752 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 8295722.26975064, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.312672186628475, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.196706655807537 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 8829059.970754612, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.429068906377511, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.464879746149784 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 10178669.85531449, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.28599747912378, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.77954414068483 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 11194668.328323016, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.981642861498784, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.505953354373476 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 9863487.352248738, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.891205143669426, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.762081463489797 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 10374877.800693527, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.184681950529391, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6384611210427771 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 14585355.4631029, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.58339522927119, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.219938829512264 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 12365993.488764443, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.216372202603202, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.828320415348111 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 11562648.669742113, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.4964033803853845, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.679154424996467 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 10776125.692541875, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.802273420781713, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.597201049775105 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 10878916.73457197, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9538775341237482, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.180872256980239 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 9046315.639454287, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.845437278638997, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.855064790516952 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 10492719.827200921, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.988875973311579, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8844467625088948 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 11677654.585375978, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.292922880712752, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.389791218798498 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 14294655.513114402, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.410329990542067, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.47533967128485 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "export_value_usd": 13624363.464458102, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.689109492994437, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.09613915770191 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "392010", "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polymers of ethylene, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32141323.15114489, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.98014301441347, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5920472235212009, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "870431", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. not exceeding 5 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12496268.538173739, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "842833", "hs_description": "Elevators and conveyors: continuous-action, belt type, for goods or materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11498708.57060114, "current_below_peak_pct": 7.363718790020507, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9345720639761298, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "730630", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: tubes and pipes, welded, of circular cross-section", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11398798.98855914, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.524397629865705, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8901228817122007, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "330590", "hs_description": "Hair preparations: n.e.s. in heading no. 3305", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12887425.111100353, "current_below_peak_pct": 62.741756960330754, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0289654821592198, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "321519", "hs_description": "Ink: for printing, other than black, whether or not concentrated or solid", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11276116.584613824, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0336739711429557, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "340211", "hs_description": "Organic surface-active agents: anionic (other than soap), whether or not put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27733811.27642889, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.65700248580112, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6065366931883803, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18717684.90489138, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0602720754577422, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "852352", "hs_description": "Semiconductor media: smart cards, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20942376.60035368, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.073314217822585, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6933668137008107, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "hs_code": "392020", "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24362556.388354257, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.43844113439424, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0566001787394979, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "TUN", "distance_km": 2317, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 46840.042941, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3924.343924779344, "importer_population": 11935.764, "importer_biz_entry_days": 9, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.974269389898996, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-TUN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-TUN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-TUN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-TUN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-TUN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }