{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.027Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Lebanon exports to Sudan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to Sudan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SDN",
    "country_name": "Sudan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
    "importer_iso3": "SDN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 21,
    "current_lane_count": 5,
    "current_product_count": 5,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2012,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2640729,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1953312,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 209065,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 621667,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 118942,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2640729,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 1,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8556812718195828,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 48.20154087178739,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5826.833078806776,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 73.96866547078477,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 96.58719240028037,
    "top_product_hs6": "850211",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1953312,
    "top_product_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output not exceeding 75kVA",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "850211",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 2060.27294921875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.5978000164031982,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.2768240745679,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.2768240745679,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 34.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 34326.058557,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 764,
    "buyer_population_latest": 44909.351,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.963299846148697,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.75887703740905,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.064861974623877,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.215999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.823999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 73.96866547078477,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 34326.058557,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 764,
    "buyer_population_2024": 44909.351
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 20408505.227658868,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 22623262.835195605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.852130436947238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 14492497.537236402,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -35.93984367856062,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 15896586.987121172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.688388397356373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.990875563560262
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 17237414.313102007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.434686810867786,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.664636880134747
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 17211916.323807765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.14792235558706013,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.8998464205956
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 10424394.737143956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.43501385302003,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.120832151966699
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 7081592.626887701,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.067109837516625,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.660504991943167
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 13607691.996890767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 92.15581457233905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.533358985768668
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 9101291.999999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.116563763498185,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.423585687523957
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 12152293.999999996,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.52273501388596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.722499693923545
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 9729036.293746147,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.940742926840393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.581279557083345
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "export_value_usd": 5857647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.79211482883138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.661059292311695
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "850211",
      "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output not exceeding 75kVA",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11678788.130036779,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.05698453694575,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7461384678256745,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "850212",
      "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output exceeding 75kVA but not exceeding 375kVA",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17476309.225295953,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.78579948839881,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.983233696276223,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "870899",
      "hs_description": "Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36141996.78809539,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.1848120239576,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6160415784831828,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "declining_buyer_demand",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "940350",
      "hs_description": "Furniture: wooden, for bedroom use",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17235519.168640703,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5014414702098975,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "SDN",
      "hs_code": "850440",
      "hs_description": "Electrical static converters",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15673658.652485337,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.04782244104334,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6786742382956328,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
    "importer_iso3": "SDN",
    "distance_km": 2054,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 34326.058557,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 764.341006776072,
    "importer_population": 44909.351,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 34.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.2768240745679,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.2768240745679,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-SDN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-SDN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-SDN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-SDN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-SDN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}