{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:23.519Z", "seo": { "title": "Lebanon exports to Panama: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to Panama, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAN", "country_name": "Panama" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "all_history_lane_count": 17, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 182560.704857954, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 137378.3358994868, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 25604.941699603674, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 70787.31065807087, "access_friction_trade_usd": 182560.704857954, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4450782086519653, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.416609386438736, "product_concentration_hhi": 4557.778399377668, "top1_product_share_pct": 61.2253301097031, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "200520", "top_product_trade_usd": 111773.39419988313, "top_product_description": "Vegetable preparations: potatoes, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid, not frozen", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 11693.87109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.196142178989897, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 12.196142178989897, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 63605.0658, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 14516, "buyer_population_latest": 4381.583, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.395634788621838, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.063341443383494, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2926937226950042, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 37.974000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 37.7, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 63605.0658, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 14516, "buyer_population_2024": 4381.583 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 120941.7723942758, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 324194.61033665173, "yoy_growth_pct": 168.05842507397875, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 143741.73120437283, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.661899790651105, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 166961.90177069133, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.154091349647047, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.347469423466826 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 103883.25370299915, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.78026447873456, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.569993009662547 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 125757.21283703455, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.056289973909315, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.357700145725751 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 145966.0136232535, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.069695193075727, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.380869937326826 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 134217.76793191236, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.048617208704501, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.915115452981093 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 140090.02838215366, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.375173675381228, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.663238720951245 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 127805.4461866294, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.769062535995042, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.332181453928941 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 367069.502457019, "yoy_growth_pct": 187.209593494945, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.84472749644128 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 978929.7093106797, "yoy_growth_pct": 166.6878350715897, "cagr_3y_pct": 91.18248189868063 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 391358.2607625625, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.02182209403573, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.213964228306565 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 474231.5987030135, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.175824365882058, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.913252675142335 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 538407.280385475, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.532561275540678, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.068078868976258 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 925778.3597112166, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.94759310245612, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.24292967859213 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 1875191.3617068387, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.55294823393561, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.13149195869136 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 1641971.499999479, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.437123296849995, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.01677085691072 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 997042.7283709043, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.277708025308556, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.502765302151655 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 763365.8005482373, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.437002364430082, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.88677669466186 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 1211702.261000903, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.731536064450054, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.632950819909903 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 753015.3386858593, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.85475500690693, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.932513347567495 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 982800.5890987081, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.515347909627355, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.787142569385198 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 659459.8157736935, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.89993686527387, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.35477199129475 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 843874.4974204031, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.96450628767273, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.870290571612056 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 814240.2508709896, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.511688839987559, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.079069542020132 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 816782.1232162378, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.312177191256402, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.392172723906509 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 523952.93584546715, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.851566659869945, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.689044676188844 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 808889.4800588631, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.38208753494496, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.21953121859290547 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "export_value_usd": 500696.397900844, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.10076527829139, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.051428321746119 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "hs_code": "200520", "hs_description": "Vegetable preparations: potatoes, prepared or preserved otherwise than by vinegar or acetic acid, not frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12664505.460366493, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6566882393043505, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "hs_code": "620443", "hs_description": "Dresses: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10256906.659037884, "current_below_peak_pct": 19.325894389979894, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8202134240360822, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "hs_code": "200819", "hs_description": "Nuts and other seeds: whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit (excluding ground-nuts except in mixtures)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12916254.203909175, "current_below_peak_pct": 82.94641382520274, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6239694527191397, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAN", "distance_km": 11692, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 63605.0658, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 14516.458047240005, "importer_population": 4381.583, "importer_biz_entry_days": 6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 12.196142178989897, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 12.196142178989897, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }