{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:21.785Z", "seo": { "title": "Lebanon exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 32, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 561867.8357660882, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 219020.00846207122, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 544283.549005686, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 450372.8002099509, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9805534186955779, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 70.46789131301065, "product_concentration_hhi": 3370.5611821245825, "top1_product_share_pct": 38.980698755152034, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.87038736851227, "top_product_hs6": "850213", "top_product_trade_usd": 219020.00846207122, "top_product_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output exceeding 375kVA", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3462.156982421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.02500000037252903, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 143498.32187962506, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 242388.8303737667, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.91405223337517, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 135898.85333467662, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.93353310665395, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 556555.3175602434, "yoy_growth_pct": 309.53643382819484, "cagr_3y_pct": 57.11603285558971 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 787385.8043405898, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.474850656756246, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.10111421722829 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2662609.0213638237, "yoy_growth_pct": 238.1581185088386, "cagr_3y_pct": 169.58591767390737 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3444510.2153805937, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.365978547472583, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.60015641149631 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4065567.173431008, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.030341593334253, "cagr_3y_pct": 72.84010446785807 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 583297.718671068, "yoy_growth_pct": -85.6527344454424, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.71707829427595 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2460796.8405553927, "yoy_growth_pct": 321.8766440852617, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.604410109734419 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 7937364.958069994, "yoy_growth_pct": 222.55263121512138, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.98322769403798 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 15799918.740708672, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.05748096721626, "cagr_3y_pct": 200.3227221908537 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 23397353.75188593, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.08527901857103, "cagr_3y_pct": 111.8509066331018 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 20756716.755443566, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.286049800522912, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.77193872374405 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5514201.2760712765, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.43413536427843, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.594067702585626 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 8268872.510794151, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.95594278860827, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.298843439741184 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 10795728.741002552, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.558655087617502, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.579932201561302 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5104941.529160789, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.71332161420429, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5378354231754607 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3069034.0731101483, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.88111214244069, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.134827667801154 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4311373.029311849, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.479803306410304, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.35873972459918 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2909275.860769293, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.52089668442234, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.091693591073607 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2690271.500892038, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.527796275027143, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.295696501287916 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4628988.221999802, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.06398017690503, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.3976897499823346 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6240340.959626288, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.81004185684349, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.965774890341045 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2722209.3093347787, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.377234401983664, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.394164073726766 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2326327.9854832874, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.542648226716704, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.494905798407604 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3247862.7433438436, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.6132773887045, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.56165694020703 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1145234.0178532798, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.73884186761532, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.06968212954005 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1033097.0579641423, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.791619716233734, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.706057123586476 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1356394.02316618, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.293958559821867, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.25260415909799 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "850213", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output exceeding 375kVA", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16282385.298661564, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.81789527017644, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.369807899459844, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "852349", "hs_description": "Optical media: recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46750015.48755368, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.79973105800883, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7606837776917342, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "490199", "hs_description": "Printed matter: books, brochures, leaflets and similar printed matter n.e.c. in item no. 4901.10 or 4901.91", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19792454.51805174, "current_below_peak_pct": 65.89480203189598, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.792105721286227, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "870431", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. not exceeding 5 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15554387.605937501, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 3210, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }