{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.945Z", "seo": { "title": "Lebanon exports to Jordan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to Jordan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "importer": { "iso3": "JOR", "country_name": "Jordan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "all_history_lane_count": 134, "current_lane_count": 98, "current_product_count": 98, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 68023806.63987336, "attention_trade_usd": 14044890.239321275, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 28544141.16112027, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19301762.287055638, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 30035452.67350959, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 59, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 55, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 51, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.980581295841544, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 35.9720109588288, "product_concentration_hhi": 456.69271875274984, "top1_product_share_pct": 12.063943943985025, "top3_product_share_pct": 26.908180306152463, "top_product_hs6": "711319", "top_product_trade_usd": 8206353.901599085, "top_product_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "top_attention_product_hs6": "711319", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 217.1311492919922, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.9604000449180603, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.37885942384243, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.09184268343435, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.2462817717030303, "tariff_advantage_pp": 19.845560911731322, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 45243.661972, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4406, "buyer_population_latest": 10269.022, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6937885914547497, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.061746565351674, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.5990731895402677, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.302, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.314, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 20.647021878203173, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 45243.661972, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4406, "buyer_population_2024": 10269.022 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 38866642.34402765, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 38181505.924392805, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.762787774591823, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 28631887.71207289, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.011109386911336, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 31066205.482516054, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.5021211137843, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.195209321758567 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 30073913.709623702, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1941196469932875, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.64814314355633 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 35082497.200904444, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.65424573482761, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.007324534180315 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 39208530.13042408, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.760944227805048, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.06808366863201 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 39458943.50608542, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6386706536265274, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.475894214288472 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 48482904.11231845, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.869240289825154, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.386538788111956 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 63033847.946042635, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.012525239854824, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.146977010984354 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 76703419.0264519, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.686080615149027, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.802443928752325 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 81403938.12052253, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.128174146252352, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.855403240677006 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 101319794.93784598, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.465470930702438, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.140433657213073 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 119457016.58415228, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.900965608381348, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.913044728180004 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 109229443.91904356, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.561717810777436, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.297271484311699 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 109270510.45293564, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.0375965787416499, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5501318875305268 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 123103882.7258473, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.659748925461356, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0074395487424503 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 137925919.3476484, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.040267368990975, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.085819968631425 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 150191663.99821177, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.892994665960497, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.185363184884123 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 119534569.90950714, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.411981113059408, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9759713976304818 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 108847623.40417719, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.940465100113236, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.588854314339988 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 95389616.47837585, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.36407971520751, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.042239664858569 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 80853158.27175197, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.239036221431078, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.218872420284876 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 78473604.03508346, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.9430566319632145, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.33253693106606 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 77847045.50417915, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7984322099239716, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.549776588814127 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 76440621.01095165, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.806651086266331, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8532915460958033 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 94519294.02330562, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.650609810932654, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.3977123021741855 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 103545627.69412342, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.549726078775155, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.975651518816342 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 105250515.6593454, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.64650889003084, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.249997153881509 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "export_value_usd": 110283188.96585312, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.7816139189251095, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.276058206137368 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "711319", "hs_description": "Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 913197118.9403403, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.320884119290135, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0149100670073192, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "850490", "hs_description": "Electrical transformers, static converters and inductors: parts thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13294772.812852992, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.44830862325735, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.785178162904766, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 46198791.72737783, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.0556048339961706, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0850826529613284, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 469020932.88587457, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.978331789659947, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7386040625537464, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 167418170.0134358, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.10308952146063, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8335743075875541, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "180631", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars, filled, weighing 2kg or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21904597.841670364, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.060345844897864, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7040721212955607, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "080810", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37716156.97629471, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.85622979707998, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7499772027151513, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "080390", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: bananas, other than plantains, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21226724.211000998, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.92659808601958, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.762131188187124, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "961900", "hs_description": "Sanitary towels (pads) and tampons, napkins and napkin liners for babies and similar articles, of any material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35205699.10031938, "current_below_peak_pct": 22.23381478888829, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7164322225362186, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "hs_code": "220210", "hs_description": "Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavoured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42432953.77803652, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8807024710055686, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "JOR", "distance_km": 220, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 45243.661972, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4405.8394238516585, "importer_population": 10269.022, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 23.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.37885942384243, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.09184268343435, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.2462817717030303, "tariff_advantage_pp": 19.845560911731322 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-JOR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-JOR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-JOR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-JOR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-JOR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }