{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.011Z", "seo": { "title": "Lebanon exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IRN", "country_name": "Iran" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "all_history_lane_count": 77, "current_lane_count": 15, "current_product_count": 15, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 10970080.553685807, "attention_trade_usd": 2724732.852235755, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6962155.225443445, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1316980.39282429, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1651461.602553427, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9909030715496446, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.550923177188512, "product_concentration_hhi": 2209.2674314265523, "top1_product_share_pct": 39.91882377633206, "top3_product_share_pct": 68.496891492814, "top_product_hs6": "850213", "top_product_trade_usd": 4379127.12434751, "top_product_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output exceeding 375kVA", "top_attention_product_hs6": "180500", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 1468.83349609375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.019600000232458115, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757, "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 24.83785637581558, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757, "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1757104.027854197, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 4122270.485914377, "yoy_growth_pct": 134.605943675888, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 771706.603214496, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.27957382099538, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2309387.6406862154, "yoy_growth_pct": 199.25720877165028, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.538415463028095 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 1148803.126369768, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.255076015371294, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.6814741685448 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 2736732.788267434, "yoy_growth_pct": 138.22469885815366, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.49656444418147 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 11265480.03770494, "yoy_growth_pct": 311.63975109301305, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.59678754008624 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 23010978.72575951, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.26096933946032, "cagr_3y_pct": 171.57919335113635 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 44308108.2426959, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.5520368809669, "cagr_3y_pct": 152.9784947776538 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 116200493.66530237, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.25559671565932, "cagr_3y_pct": 117.6804485070062 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 49578661.460862786, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.333519078097474, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.157580900250736 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 40052906.233170904, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.21341752078458, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3095439486088285 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 73631839.5829124, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.83644660954013, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.108030891105782 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 129589835.34107816, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.99700900471842, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.750139357932966 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 26444650.084233046, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.59357690776349, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.923440014090982 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 62040972.71720938, "yoy_growth_pct": 134.6068959868739, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.549488143802151 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 43149475.01442663, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.45003467126891, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.68910193821711 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 36633347.28017359, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.10129087798735, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.475542040329522 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 28903660.908303678, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.100136749046992, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.478038711875424 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 31307943.883085668, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.318264535449437, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.14139402826183 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 30593506.34147711, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.2819688967008034, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.828920136435533 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 22986937.933903284, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.863342967854685, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.350568982497407 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 40708189.97644437, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.09270409785259, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.146316088758688 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 11591998.746273326, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.52416073281324, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.63814519957145 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 13130573.145748472, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.272727448920563, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.027497912608258 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 11599176.35852139, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.662832766160935, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.19658193332275 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 12319797.155696398, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.212689374669256, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0504859859670432 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 9133403.238135932, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.8640128347174, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.396750545514633 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 12803413.400519332, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.18228547119775, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3473961245830353 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "export_value_usd": 12851251.371819934, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.3736345129546681, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4177459029961037 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "850213", "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output exceeding 375kVA", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53397775.57770053, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0359354057896846, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "180500", "hs_description": "Cocoa: powder, not containing added sugar or other sweetening matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71170984.74017297, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.92251996252812, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7460287524161168, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "840890", "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38546468.79261466, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.16691453522328, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8640135052052188, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 109541874.74500675, "current_below_peak_pct": 94.7169348784656, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.403290354295244, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "870431", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. not exceeding 5 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10243542.538288545, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4112629055728152, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "281820", "hs_description": "Aluminium oxide: other than artificial corundum", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62976891.45392913, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 209538209.5986665, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.53600085176107, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.30152843195147, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "901920", "hs_description": "Therapeutic respiration apparatus: ozone, oxygen, aerosol therapy apparatus: artificial respiration or other therapeutic respiration apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11070874.58947216, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.904665444874396, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5922450313246651, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "842240", "hs_description": "Machinery: for packing or wrapping", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37646105.10977528, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.49068216911373, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7500805899806904, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31555770.408479765, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5418636327579844, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "IRN", "distance_km": 1470, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084, "importer_population": 85028.763, "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 57.04679814121213, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-IRN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-IRN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-IRN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-IRN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-IRN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }