{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.998Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Lebanon exports to the United Kingdom: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to the United Kingdom, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "LBN",
    "country_name": "Lebanon"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GBR",
    "country_name": "United Kingdom"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
    "importer_iso3": "GBR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 116,
    "current_lane_count": 46,
    "current_product_count": 46,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 23739069.582744233,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3798851.482315855,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 15605725.08428619,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1223801.2115971993,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 7570504.164914473,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 33,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1336756233483614,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.96393293896381,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 456.5476663837208,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 9.233331989805302,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 22.856516528554632,
    "top_product_hs6": "392410",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2191907.1058656634,
    "top_product_description": "Plastics: tableware and kitchenware",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "392410",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 3464.00244140625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.35999876260757446,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3186859.739185,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 47334,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67326.569,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.090346724339945,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.290378476461543,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7670585336488678,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.965999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.626,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 16.002528949480034,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3186859.739185,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 47334,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67326.569
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 20884877.574864656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 18669778.5551587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.606234160414086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 26761309.23061741,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.34026057969989,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 26323379.52481743,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.636428554470537,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.01976725388991
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 26214029.866330262,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.41540888921224317,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.977699515520456
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 20968321.431008972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.01107217039897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.809655821511418
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 22825305.83742433,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.856142407609035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.641739540579759
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 22745281.619485345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.35059428560987316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.621056061387874
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 20813550.555722706,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.492886991154114,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.24664705449967128
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 21381943.90658607,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7308812561395612,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.153898461696402
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 32660496.053091645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.748020459597015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.817676921316433
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 31930892.40267028,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.2339025385142652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.333364482343569
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 75136995.32914048,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 135.3112915906385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.032188087457286
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 85316976.3095183,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.548560114473606,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.722287102567755
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 42440063.21126919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.25601580475326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.948250162457239
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 48660203.58871291,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.656293857244007,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.481954630624749
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 59333553.194772385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.934453246996366,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.4024660370162
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 51169665.24455502,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.75931072831258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.433624336837185
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 39541178.002811626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.725353363496513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.683474386989885
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 38341938.359300904,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.032888002035372,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.5447768827336
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 45669166.92758327,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.110219466786415,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7198323330516203
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 38348785.20444178,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.029155370294536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0154675963152227
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 43311025.38676161,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.939758471788764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1457296552181555
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 38912640.26016898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.155347483269328,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.196900477745004
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 41287320.91074123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.102594516062632,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.491621464815297
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 49905220.69300867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.872993432774223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.837302589701253
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 44868861.47035793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.091848413278914,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.861995224210425
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 42382543.642770804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.541299123958565,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8765230903731824
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 43394387.008061096,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.3874059419812133,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.552946553652482
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "export_value_usd": 39295843.02346511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.444871254511844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.324548536657846
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "392410",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: tableware and kitchenware",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 451177315.39221656,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.819683340309474,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.150662890922539,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "080610",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 660955256.8361297,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2618631208669038,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "560122",
      "hs_description": "Wadding: other articles thereof, of man-made fibres",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41620189.29716142,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7492707392019629,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "320820",
      "hs_description": "Paints and varnishes: based on acrylic or vinyl polymers, dispersed or dissolved in a non-aqueous medium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 136682240.7321088,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.40780708792055,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2052125903268152,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "200600",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, nuts, fruit-peel and other parts of plants: preserved by sugar (drained, glace or crystallised)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38252320.4776106,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.193163301766347,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8904304006216853,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "091099",
      "hs_description": "Spices: mixtures of 2 or more products of the same heading",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37214401.77742395,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1568663258510297,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "620443",
      "hs_description": "Dresses: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 452928646.89241743,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 17.748554973259772,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2051868892377056,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "210390",
      "hs_description": "Sauces and preparations therefor: mixed condiments and mixed seasonings",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 968874016.4798884,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.3601527089646748,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0305671954023843,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "853110",
      "hs_description": "Signalling apparatus: electric, sound or visual, burglar or fire alarms and similar, other than those of heading no. 8512 or 8530",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 477387096.8316809,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.889816275211956,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7718180467217413,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
      "importer_iso3": "GBR",
      "hs_code": "090121",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: roasted, not decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 612860909.5265166,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.236660609464905,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "LBN",
    "importer_iso3": "GBR",
    "distance_km": 3460,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 1,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3186859.739185,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 47334.35531498716,
    "importer_population": 67326.569,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-GBR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-GBR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-GBR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-GBR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-GBR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}