{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:19.943Z", "seo": { "title": "Lebanon exports to China: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Lebanon to China, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "importer": { "iso3": "CHN", "country_name": "China" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "all_history_lane_count": 49, "current_lane_count": 14, "current_product_count": 14, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 70643168.00571106, "attention_trade_usd": 14289403.319260646, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12724976.86348829, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 241328.26023042612, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14768173.093594799, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7541079962889157, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 7.477923066032582, "product_concentration_hhi": 2558.490266954637, "top1_product_share_pct": 43.85046500861719, "top3_product_share_pct": 73.42904320033662, "top_product_hs6": "740400", "top_product_trade_usd": 30977357.667322982, "top_product_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "top_attention_product_hs6": "251010", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 6983.57080078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0024999999441206455, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12556, "buyer_population_latest": 1412359.985, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.1812362915018895, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.16286575688667, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.01746865158438471, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 44.900000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 46.43, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 20.227579994862964, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17734062.645370997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12556, "buyer_population_2024": 1412359.985 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 607980.7677014216, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 525399.865948879, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.582814809217435, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 312815.1460833033, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.4615101074769, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 503648.5188361746, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.00515756422229, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.08263342183527 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 176089.47953222514, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.03722875247787, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.537914636347875 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 1186585.0473657728, "yoy_growth_pct": 573.8534582065265, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.95657877640736 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 2456632.341466932, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.03381918731179, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.5915468106027 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 3829321.725919063, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.876875073315006, "cagr_3y_pct": 179.1233370375677 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 6159620.802924196, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.85409489707594, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.14835448153698 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 10481470.170985723, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.16421150486711, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.19122198952436 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 14037844.883563727, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.93011337686751, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.191178502281986 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 24464912.92411636, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.27826797517338, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.36646856268848 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 36565403.96573042, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.46059313248554, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.66407627836449 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 33991764.606298976, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.038454605461197, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.2840477503211 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 20978160.29487564, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.28457999209549, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.99614202756783 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 39137986.368599854, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.56538904491131, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.2922427589876726 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 34070111.682893135, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.948736396343175, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.07677051664061185 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 25049538.357639145, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.476500603264206, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.0907311207125225 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 35871101.70914863, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.20064983636445, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.863583154057636 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 19862596.343102694, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.62786087766884, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.461343496156143 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 15758775.993727926, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.66104691695969, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.314450696194058 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 14147924.849404406, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.221930592608508, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.664204104751832 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 87631247.38086703, "yoy_growth_pct": 519.3929379300887, "cagr_3y_pct": 64.01150947216117 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 39833553.52756563, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.54412128308619, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.22041206887412 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 22598703.704492662, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.26716623749398, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.89526718004053 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 28714017.439288355, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.06046247059719, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.058881987537713 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 39623501.157657705, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.993581850522574, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1760849471960979 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 49276367.57545291, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.361467653722645, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.673645224135758 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 53704881.756448865, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.987095435179814, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.208291390150993 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "export_value_usd": 78117500.8012436, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.456983138899254, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.390653085247394 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15611318956.075687, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.2100776940207483, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8421681571637523, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "251010", "hs_description": "Natural calcium phosphates, natural aluminium calcium phosphates and phosphatic chalk: unground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104807336.03024139, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.45673582748300023, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "740321", "hs_description": "Copper: copper-zinc base alloys (brass) unwrought", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 825355980.2150661, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5807047738311768, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2726793869.4829903, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.404246734012226, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0436997807316912, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "180690", "hs_description": "Chocolate and other food preparations containing cocoa: n.e.c. in chapter 18", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 303227225.3829897, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.73351917217382, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2423727081782074, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "870431", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. not exceeding 5 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 137278791.80326974, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "903040", "hs_description": "Instruments and apparatus: specially designed for telecommunications (e.g. cross-talk meters, gain measuring instruments, distortion factor meters, psophometers)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 556771891.3338944, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.70416785707019, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9318559058594503, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "740313", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, billets", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 146570724.1725155, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.706678278396126, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7460495224892358, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "790200", "hs_description": "Zinc: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15231985.004228665, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8343606435968997, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "hs_code": "180620", "hs_description": "Chocolate & other food preparations containing cocoa: in blocks, slabs or bars weighing more than 2kg or in liquid, paste, powder, granular or other bulk form in containers or immediate packings, content exceeding 2kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 104120759.13748138, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9856633492398595, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "LBN", "importer_iso3": "CHN", "distance_km": 7821, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17734062.645370997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12556.33325336033, "importer_population": 1412359.985, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.189875567878786, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-CHN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-CHN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-CHN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-CHN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/LBN-CHN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }