{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.640Z", "seo": { "title": "Kyrgyzstan exports to Uzbekistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kyrgyzstan to Uzbekistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "all_history_lane_count": 174, "current_lane_count": 114, "current_product_count": 114, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 280896463.4484244, "attention_trade_usd": 248031615.77138793, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 210400975.23898533, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 28225801.868500844, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 268752757.80433464, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 19, "high_volatility_lane_count": 94, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 39, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 81, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3954339389436112, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 17.223058352006564, "product_concentration_hhi": 695.590738497376, "top1_product_share_pct": 10.871370951433997, "top3_product_share_pct": 31.38259005254594, "top_product_hs6": "261690", "top_product_trade_usd": 30537296.530937426, "top_product_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "261690", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 480.28680419921875, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.5379058122634888, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.063534776800766, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.004833423406130268, "tariff_advantage_pp": 14.124827955521072, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 69238.90310600001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1983, "buyer_population_latest": 34915.1, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.30599251867368, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.14382231876436, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.98102847598145, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.586000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 26.401999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 88.30001372264668, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 69238.90310600001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1983, "buyer_population_2024": 34915.1 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 70371914.10924536, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 116253942.99999946, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.199347597007, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 123795379.00071417, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.487036745682451, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 105194065.5459579, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.025854442150832, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.339764145699906 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 51150904.028263986, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.37472464554873, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.941362612951657 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 86745807.33117683, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.58802386609726, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.179198771054544 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 44666870.046339296, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.508324009469646, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.838040520066574 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 27122886.44344572, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.2773963895225, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.060435374901928 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 15866882.495303083, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.50002239478706, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.23494834280436 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 13772861.189992387, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.197433748756692, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.44156978190821 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 16078042.82285711, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.73712964260259, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.996169146081085 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 25341566.138071097, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.615988570727275, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.89087652015995 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 84375234.38034175, "yoy_growth_pct": 232.9519332808058, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.9771844334087 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 230227492.27915004, "yoy_growth_pct": 172.86145510582406, "cagr_3y_pct": 142.83316518518157 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 164651461.9664417, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.483144937876336, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.59960209375039 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 38507592.377050385, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.61266294440873, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.008320893572332 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 55742148.8070468, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.75625549694924, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.67310270193062 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 56027001.785352744, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5110190123670533, "cagr_3y_pct": -30.18577354530647 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 58758867.35537762, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.875980300518368, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.126601136292294 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 75221541.3479363, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.017343991658848, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.506080145107921 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 48355716.747473836, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.715599705933876, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.7897992501602875 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 65274680.109058246, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.98854840667474, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.567568160971124 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 81757176.02929257, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.25097923528088, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.81612170793355 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 128191671.94997783, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.795621101257666, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.40039479712269 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 127117925.15003315, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8376104185330191, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.878406356186723 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 139095646.55198315, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.422527458509954, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.379352358442304 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 157396208.1287598, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.156818369536328, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.080769766780448 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 215485875.9090801, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.906650084479395, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.23506824771617 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 265983927.40759125, "yoy_growth_pct": 23.434506454528737, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.121577232418655 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 311168980.8988155, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.98788867869565, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.506825243114186 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "261690", "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36756013.70742676, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 193247118.39991763, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.34856337759878053, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "270210", "hs_description": "Lignite: whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated, excluding jet", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62267500.21681717, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.355666810467888, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6429406183216113, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "271019", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 895890327.6798311, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.179092443299087, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6402030505384118, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "270119", "hs_description": "Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47175292.8375745, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.418216219845363, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4294146368681668, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "010410", "hs_description": "Sheep: live", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25891757.39498897, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.221684052186596, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.332891234353531, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40006292.162548974, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8082211911764383, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "010229", "hs_description": "Cattle: live, other than pure-bred breeding animals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35748883.22746463, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.573228142115704, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "010221", "hs_description": "Cattle: live, pure-bred breeding animals", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20905817.913135614, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.546809245583635, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2470546691450164, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "170199", "hs_description": "Sugars: sucrose, chemically pure, in solid form, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 148499051.62680194, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.09524372675538, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.658314520770798, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "distance_km": 479, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "importer_population": 34915.1, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.063534776800766, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.129661378927203, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.004833423406130268, "tariff_advantage_pp": 14.124827955521072 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-UZB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-UZB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-UZB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-UZB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-UZB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }