{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.979Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kyrgyzstan exports to Syrian Arab Republic: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kyrgyzstan to Syrian Arab Republic, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KGZ",
    "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SYR",
    "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
    "importer_iso3": "SYR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 4622908,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3647939,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4622908,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 4622908,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.4630775898597005,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.706299951054056,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6671.581946349188,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 78.91004969166595,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "071320",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3647939,
    "top_product_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: chickpeas (garbanzos), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "071320",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 3474.416259765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.45183911111111,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.45183911111111,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21445.775364,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1266,
    "buyer_population_latest": 18275.703,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9043464757107378,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.065563203855846,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9239347234722777,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 78.91004969166595,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21445.775364,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1266,
    "buyer_population_2024": 18275.703
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 2000,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 1319.7006120868145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.01496939565928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 1123.0564811467261,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.900662251655639,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 176114.09108161158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15581.677105125264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 344.8921095858364
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 731.3974019470714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.58470250877987,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.859123695864387
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 114749.55225890398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15589.083930764082,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 367.50163461029166
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 180926.09068446458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.67041101498123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9026017467167247
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 1217134.3176973572,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 572.7245988087155,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1085.027325412174
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 737822.5166933148,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.38035383891165,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.95176363212624
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 350298.20645352703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.52270044245167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.63659374521154
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 246904.7024454131,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.51585309410678,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.242458243663
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 151117.8305884584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.795077982822846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -41.053964427957666
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 482654.60949285177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 219.3895833558336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.275489860747157
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 44012.7847025,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -90.88110134310199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.72055206209961
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 92392.25550849833,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.92140382167253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.126270481966053
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 239766.72672843744,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.5095502418852,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.801403501953107
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 197505.98433431666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.625774422814633,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.94296756800462
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 230528.47592330846,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.719742290489247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.63226152939929
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 273365.8243236282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.582237282725433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.46843807069095
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 21582.36279325535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.10495209243686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -52.19137611879122
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 90839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 320.8946020886456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.686730387486655
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 1754490,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1831.4281310890697,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.8384435316508
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 5389821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 207.20157994630915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 529.7358984133307
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 5572521,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.389722961115038,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 294.3905101570012
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 5172380.999999985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.180592051604917,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.388130850774
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "export_value_usd": 4642185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.250520988302803,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.855716358281914
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "071320",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: chickpeas (garbanzos), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14749761.106,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 34.5370075770015,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5124704586577381,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "SYR",
      "hs_code": "071340",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: lentils, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13234625.208200749,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 49.564508010704046,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.27826948579665367,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
    "importer_iso3": "SYR",
    "distance_km": 3477,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668,
    "importer_population": 18275.703,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.45183911111111,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.45183911111111,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-SYR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-SYR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-SYR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-SYR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-SYR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}