{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.006Z", "seo": { "title": "Kyrgyzstan exports to Republic of Moldova: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kyrgyzstan to Republic of Moldova, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MDA", "country_name": "Republic of Moldova" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "all_history_lane_count": 7, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1074897.1795403701, "attention_trade_usd": 1053816.6978646228, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1053816.6978646228, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1074897.1795403701, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.41704509960354924, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 65.92100736216058, "product_concentration_hhi": 9615.459793873573, "top1_product_share_pct": 98.03883738119386, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "270111", "top_product_trade_usd": 1053816.6978646228, "top_product_description": "Coal: anthracite, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270111", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 3581.89794921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.21928150951862335, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.067687242632183, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.812528296245211, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13679.221333000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5315, "buyer_population_latest": 2573.928, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.170672417488102, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.45369402374179, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -2.048403712637259, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.576, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -4.6899999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.03883738119386, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13679.221333000001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5315, "buyer_population_2024": 2573.928 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 728610.7090493098, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 864388.9865833602, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.635229464471315, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 719865.2371461957, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.719758312564625, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 771770.4020341559, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.210400254043514, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9367671853133483 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 417556.2381765501, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.896313582900206, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.53633610396608 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 145031.8494834506, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.26651113708697, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.376637105388625 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 453905.89303734724, "yoy_growth_pct": 212.96980260128439, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.21635814933239 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 204223.85816660785, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.00744508954758, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.211318384423883 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 585524.081530792, "yoy_growth_pct": 186.70699240884758, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.230817727590356 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 437358.7378335856, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.304739526655084, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2302406885292827 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 157989.0165378126, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.87656107652131, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.200537213382963 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 351867.8950506146, "yoy_growth_pct": 122.71668167919741, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.612466418926507 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 963200.3662016052, "yoy_growth_pct": 173.73920148726648, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.104687476804525 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 646960.9091045954, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.83215706656183, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.98663902277968 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 2180414.453898048, "yoy_growth_pct": 237.02414214110362, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.67630597191828 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 955503.8406701743, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.17787989976093, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.26706512938036164 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 261825.99396694842, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.59812228663488, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.031824444132447 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 548437.6295922362, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.4664556726435, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.87577425735448 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 281031.1303929407, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.75786867471375, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.49708769550133 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 751196.9451295894, "yoy_growth_pct": 167.3002610348746, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.09550857097681 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 157891.44853874075, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.98135108742983, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.96962131020219 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 117026.07424510145, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.881942734607588, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.324856003853803 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 259464.19671589657, "yoy_growth_pct": 121.71486003407259, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.837044439294846 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 996118.5249076935, "yoy_growth_pct": 283.9136719115067, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.77822995815714 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 712579.2025492564, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.46441615817873, "cagr_3y_pct": 82.60675353442701 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 317714.2366291266, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.41348449512672, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.984225210558104 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 1035738.4621737932, "yoy_growth_pct": 225.99686849501458, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3086113419020773 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 7255112.297532616, "yoy_growth_pct": 600.4772500487902, "cagr_3y_pct": 116.73896679426177 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 3373674.1083645453, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.49935369695249, "cagr_3y_pct": 119.79719753654679 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "export_value_usd": 1584781.2298559935, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.025064693511624, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.231992537306338 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "270111", "hs_description": "Coal: anthracite, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11779220.87277924, "current_below_peak_pct": 67.23968696797884, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4053866709926872, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12410694.47718165, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9998518366585036, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "MDA", "distance_km": 3587, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13679.221333000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5314.531460475973, "importer_population": 2573.928, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.067687242632183, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.812528296245211, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.812528296245211 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-MDA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-MDA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-MDA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-MDA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-MDA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }