{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.501Z", "seo": { "title": "Kyrgyzstan exports to Lebanon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kyrgyzstan to Lebanon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LBN", "country_name": "Lebanon" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "all_history_lane_count": 4, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 101917.47395413558, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 101917.47395413558, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 101917.47395413558, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6804963621613431, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 48.15395463380454, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "080252", "top_product_trade_usd": 101917.47395413558, "top_product_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, shelled", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3521.32568359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2670, "buyer_population_latest": 6769.151, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.20448672321533, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -17.144054688959663, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.03920581721326144, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.9, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -1.5939999999999999, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18076.62484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2670, "buyer_population_2024": 6769.151 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 54050.098310127, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 91571.80059033135, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.42022947842474, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 62054.658179751474, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.233877919068085, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 44090.18762706547, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.949431162200547, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.563803158751547 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 89666.62437579429, "yoy_growth_pct": 103.37092945540336, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6983749874492018 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 2362.806227761099, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.36489887490518, "cagr_3y_pct": -66.35778569041713 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 299808.44758871547, "yoy_growth_pct": 12588.65995299166, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.45263042720035 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 27648.720193388413, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.7778715323867, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.441281290251624 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 79227.65362102489, "yoy_growth_pct": 186.55088939693653, "cagr_3y_pct": 222.46523173178255 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 231321.31269000453, "yoy_growth_pct": 191.97041956650608, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.281432980411063 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 15699.13620655759, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.21327722724965, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.193027256505424 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 14014.766394964583, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.729060436391647, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.86466014391801 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 52458.05889535688, "yoy_growth_pct": 274.3056246317793, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.01839422562703 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 22543.86977053175, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.02496385635967, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.81951710656022 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 1775899.0922338553, "yoy_growth_pct": 7777.525510528029, "cagr_3y_pct": 402.2779819838795 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 196151.7351692543, "yoy_growth_pct": -88.95479275669203, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.21248278928945 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 219634.06917043988, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.971514797421134, "cagr_3y_pct": 113.57827782726622 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 58593.237154638424, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.32233684148106, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.92674264126569 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 134174.70833345334, "yoy_growth_pct": 128.9935065020241, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.88980375352493 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 28931.937414314478, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.43711547901239, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.118574541047735 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 10717.707592583549, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.95544456943, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.234456039051764 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 18624.697353728163, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.77500918774926, "cagr_3y_pct": -48.22268549349851 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 111056.73988003664, "yoy_growth_pct": 496.28748736583395, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.575017105527145 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 42806.61824957661, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.455182012531374, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.66081171595794 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 143119.40595097587, "yoy_growth_pct": 234.3394358240187, "cagr_3y_pct": 97.33453661865417 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 421325.5088199658, "yoy_growth_pct": 194.38740750802634, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.96396870476883 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 43157.79421842037, "yoy_growth_pct": -89.75666241066314, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2727148378982136 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "export_value_usd": 139407.45056100958, "yoy_growth_pct": 223.0180158315609, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8721195883801269 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "hs_code": "080252", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: pistachios, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14185677.625297891, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.15395463380454, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6804963621613431, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "LBN", "distance_km": 3524, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18076.62484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2670.4419564580553, "importer_population": 6769.151, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 42.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.604728832183906, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-LBN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-LBN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-LBN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-LBN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-LBN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }