{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.475Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kyrgyzstan exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kyrgyzstan to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KGZ",
    "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 4,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 656144.7244235404,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 656144.7244235404,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8163306040138679,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 8504.015910979531,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 91.85699410480602,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 602714.8208327272,
    "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 6198.080078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 110347.079517,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2007.0000000000002,
    "buyer_population_latest": 54985.703,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 110347.079517,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2007.0000000000002,
    "buyer_population_2024": 54985.703
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 69552.89213942985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 162019.32812463105,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 132.9440561577763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 64.1994739796123,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.96037542265931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 82.26004361907593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.131958908571562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -89.42473528279226
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 109.90887730463083,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.61149893572777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -91.21337722875592
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 461.76551886004256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 320.1348700707607,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 93.03231099176298
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 218.58493174707348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.663219140594855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.508713340432664
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3118.2932991455195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1326.582003719142,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 204.99641173896396
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 8677.582310078826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 178.27986265617392,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 165.86372210943594
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 3297.7596522328304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.99679202809113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 147.09630999776402
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 681.4402369684635,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.33626738058132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.76666117606893
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 40333.23155777071,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5818.821544381052,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.88658430255106
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 385.5489958770071,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.04409098654847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.102477100957586
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 1295.2498068134598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 235.9494696302241,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.87260026047344
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 527.7404771626356,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.25569921828677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -76.4358129263536
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 142285.53795503636,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26861.270569963828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 617.2882686356552
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "export_value_usd": 788767.9440688165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 454.355667768621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 747.6148796988086
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 98605180.38304573,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8886972755525395,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
      "importer_iso3": "KEN",
      "hs_code": "480256",
      "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: uncoated, for printing & writing, with no, or not more than 10% weight of all fibre got by mechanical/chemi-mechanical process, weight 40-150g/m2, one side not more than 435mm, other side not more than 297mm, unfolded, sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24493670.580688816,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KGZ",
    "importer_iso3": "KEN",
    "distance_km": 6179,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "importer_population": 54985.703,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 23,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 22.4,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.59022475823755,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-KEN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-KEN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-KEN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-KEN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-KEN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}