{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.994Z", "seo": { "title": "Kyrgyzstan exports to Azerbaijan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kyrgyzstan to Azerbaijan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "AZE", "country_name": "Azerbaijan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "all_history_lane_count": 27, "current_lane_count": 8, "current_product_count": 8, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2479365.875186245, "attention_trade_usd": 2098578.2967467844, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2116010.0758676007, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 202595.1836866381, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2277509.840977391, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.5656234384611665, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 5.029514870731865, "product_concentration_hhi": 7227.834938097669, "top1_product_share_pct": 84.64173512064424, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.41319318904844, "top_product_hs6": "080232", "top_product_trade_usd": 2098578.2967467844, "top_product_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, shelled", "top_attention_product_hs6": "080232", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 2067.733154296875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.056999996304512024, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.166017670965518, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203064, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.781613727203064, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 54622.176471, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5384, "buyer_population_latest": 10145.212, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.0569535704234, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.672559409025471, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.35371777704353846, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.036, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.227999999999994, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 84.64173512064424, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 54622.176471, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5384, "buyer_population_2024": 10145.212 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2533668.9598053372, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 5248221.7688521035, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.13920611220362, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 3276841.616339006, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.562821072332085, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2741053.093493005, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.350760444888436, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6571474548223284 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2346113.5422385875, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.408314534000299, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.538006613072515 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 3554793.896785698, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.51840832877277, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7510633714507016 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2014875.6902721818, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.31947930668878, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.750749661597935 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 5066965.658962552, "yoy_growth_pct": 151.47782979495253, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.260642865612763 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1801074.424369045, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.45457606006728, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.279059957539648 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1754936.0163791236, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.561715793953645, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.499786317529864 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1654449.8214635616, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.72591786695964, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.139757737415707 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1449703.4271847329, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.375497378198252, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.978679110988573 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2431384.549212917, "yoy_growth_pct": 67.71599650106164, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.480127094903247 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2719970.6331753787, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.86920777529339, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.023966219248265 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1110534.2764085983, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.171093141100364, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.50073601684712 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1257182.6397097677, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.205208197213093, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.737088859007702 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1511348.0073745295, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.217059927222536, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.788339353448713 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 3555712.642287148, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.26763028351297, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.38894021710174 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2998370.0997072537, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.674566497628838, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.60692058951689 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2879034.2691089017, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.980023367028751, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.963582544906025 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2066897.0502302928, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.20866801040114, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.54275134065648 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 920169.720930349, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.48062150324207, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.548092882919164 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1079188.2715191452, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.2814369970812, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.897532491473665 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 1897027.616838612, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.78282371140075, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.8182006323172915 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 3371643.6152130323, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.73297474877363, "cagr_3y_pct": 54.166936196885864 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 3817144.7737554386, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.213174622972668, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.36333553997446 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 2850897.734188913, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.313345362478845, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.543204384856768 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 5575479.9377721315, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.56927177390911, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.253371429123423 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 4572448.408832485, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.990048213507535, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.202985965316099 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "export_value_usd": 8817183.732937634, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.83287518139514, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.696600062314374 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "080232", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15349752.614065789, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.798115671267127, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "701090", "hs_description": "Glass: carboys, bottles, flasks, jars, pots, phials and other containers of glass, (not ampoules), used for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32496955.505995654, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.27190382855729, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3544962529260553, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "847990", "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: parts, of those having individual functions", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12884268.153354514, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "761699", "hs_description": "Aluminium: n.e.c. in heading no. 7616", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16267012.954551514, "current_below_peak_pct": 70.40360364349172, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43912537532288126, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "600410", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics of a width exceeding 30 cm, other than those of heading 60.01, containing by weight 5% or more of elastomeric yarn but not containing rubber thread", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10647160.5518719, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "611020", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12252224.842303935, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3664410439033985, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "940161", "hs_description": "Seats: with wooden frames, upholstered, (excluding medical, surgical, dental, veterinary or barber furniture)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12069270.253503703, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "hs_code": "392350", "hs_description": "Plastics: stoppers, lids, caps and other closures, for the conveyance or packing of goods", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11360291.777580403, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.09833402984755, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9730369344697719, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "AZE", "distance_km": 2069, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797, "importer_population": 10145.212, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.166017670965518, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203064, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0, "tariff_advantage_pp": 9.781613727203064 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-AZE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-AZE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-AZE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-AZE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-AZE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }