{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.639Z", "seo": { "title": "Kyrgyzstan exports to the United Arab Emirates: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kyrgyzstan to the United Arab Emirates, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ARE", "country_name": "United Arab Emirates" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "all_history_lane_count": 42, "current_lane_count": 17, "current_product_count": 17, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 293467992.41619146, "attention_trade_usd": 265115284.11544606, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 292697677.5438109, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 265252710.855892, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1186244.434100046, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 11, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 8, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3021891362314557, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 45.59126877459235, "product_concentration_hhi": 8210.38019153691, "top1_product_share_pct": 90.33873913563424, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.66777806412188, "top_product_hs6": "710812", "top_product_trade_usd": 265115284.11544606, "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "710812", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 2760.658203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 36285, "buyer_population_latest": 9991.083, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.943547237156554, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.819807045643529, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0679101465127756, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.395999999999997, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 61.2, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 90.33873913563424, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 358868.765175, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 36285, "buyer_population_2024": 9991.083 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 79795.99999999974, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 977845.4999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 1125.4317259010515, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 697885.0674592083, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.630333988425726, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 516475.38954388624, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.99420540344568, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.36148828593741 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 17236811.88612471, "yoy_growth_pct": 3237.3926880324384, "cagr_3y_pct": 160.252893571172 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 498800.13994716754, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.10619258803484, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.59107217766041 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 377817.696318127, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.254693200738654, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.895968847283697 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 53502820.81403202, "yoy_growth_pct": 14061.015043875026, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.87243949883104 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 115446901.53237642, "yoy_growth_pct": 115.7772240339495, "cagr_3y_pct": 513.9767207119627 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 175915003.39649147, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.37741425841309, "cagr_3y_pct": 675.0686932617483 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 113340723.05676797, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.57074674221421, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.430971094578595 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 5836013.047414974, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.8509124611002, "cagr_3y_pct": -63.02473253116547 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 10101383.01040858, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.08705323890467, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.4202579888969 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 35366255.382490285, "yoy_growth_pct": 250.11300280415557, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.173246027169434 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 100122325.56494269, "yoy_growth_pct": 183.10129099648168, "cagr_3y_pct": 157.91200526965744 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 302759970.9975638, "yoy_growth_pct": 202.3900706353285, "cagr_3y_pct": 210.62700228096904 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 124806409.86705516, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.77710998061252, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.24718473006833 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 10039500.911654253, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.95594126748105, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.54201190827028 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 219517321.66801873, "yoy_growth_pct": 2086.536199356228, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.162681575182775 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 142196852.41706207, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.222946719389306, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.44420877185201 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 100118086.00969692, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.59191127799968, "cagr_3y_pct": 115.2451981435921 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 36570414.30557519, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.4727193026511, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.975805315655215 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 43464419.14522107, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.8513173026724, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.63805284921787 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 5666394.102747991, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.96314315436788, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.60587750878746 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 11515092.260855742, "yoy_growth_pct": 103.21728513855662, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.968113521025508 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 27357337.705828454, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.5781025986795, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.300165389600005 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 149628857.2736219, "yoy_growth_pct": 446.9423190318099, "cagr_3y_pct": 197.78502953855258 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 90027868.69918138, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.832549456319065, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.47379885072205 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 543269571.5211838, "yoy_growth_pct": 503.4459988567115, "cagr_3y_pct": 170.79907911199314 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "export_value_usd": 297635807.19775, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.213974277198375, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.76407655027968 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80031157896.70036, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.41574075968961, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1842277216763515, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "710691", "hs_description": "Metals: silver, unwrought, (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1129015107.9024708, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4777881469992415, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "880330", "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 467344157.45465255, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.446198064831444, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25943206.118496276, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.7772897435592565, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "040900", "hs_description": "Honey: natural", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37043213.92712627, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2447279801581719, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "240399", "hs_description": "Tobacco: other than homogenised or reconstituted or smoking", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83919988.21251367, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0150778101724771, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "080232", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, shelled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57339746.24888406, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8750911451629204, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "610443", "hs_description": "Dresses: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50976163.427462384, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8868555490185988, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "080231", "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, in shell", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 162487704.324424, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4880431134651286, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "hs_code": "841989", "hs_description": "Machinery, plant and laboratory equipment: for treating materials by change of temperature, other than for making hot drinks or cooking or heating food", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 115543085.17168337, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7445557512810244, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KGZ", "importer_iso3": "ARE", "distance_km": 2628, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 358868.765175, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35918.90540545004, "importer_population": 9991.083, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.154220090038312, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-ARE/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-ARE/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-ARE/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-ARE/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KGZ-ARE/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }