# Kenya exports to South Africa: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from Kenya to South Africa, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-ZAF/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, Kenya reported $12.3M in goods exports to South Africa. The overall review level is High attention.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $12.3M | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 51.3% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 0 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 4 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.2 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 27.2% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 090240 | Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg | $32.8M | 12.2% | High attention |
| 2 | 800110 | Tin: unwrought, not alloyed | $11.2M | 60% | High attention |
| 3 | 090111 | Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated | $99.2M | 0% | High attention |
| 4 | 283620 | Carbonates: disodium carbonate | $91.5M | 89.5% | High attention |
| 5 | 392350 | Plastics: stoppers, lids, caps and other closures, for the conveyance or packing of goods | $62.6M | 38.5% | Watch |
| 6 | 310590 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105 | $19.3M | 0% | Watch |
| 7 | 610910 | T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted | $169.4M | 0% | Watch |
| 8 | 130219 | Vegetable saps and extracts: n.e.c. in item no. 1302.1 | $10.4M | 0% | Watch |
| 9 | 730840 | Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, props and similar equipment for scaffolding, shuttering or pit-propping | $18.7M | 27.5% | Watch |
| 10 | 120991 | Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing | $59.9M | 0% | Watch |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.