{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.513Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Uzbekistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Uzbekistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "all_history_lane_count": 5, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 51506.19243961215, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 51506.19243961215, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6473359905225698, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.842575864923331, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "120991", "top_product_trade_usd": 51506.19243961215, "top_product_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5753.80810546875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 69238.90310600001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1983, "buyer_population_latest": 34915.1, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 11.30599251867368, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.14382231876436, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.98102847598145, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.586000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 26.401999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 69238.90310600001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1983, "buyer_population_2024": 34915.1 }, "history": [ { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 7583, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1228, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.80588157721218, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 47758, "yoy_growth_pct": 3789.087947882736, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 103717, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.1719921269735, "cagr_3y_pct": 139.14958420560106 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 28748.999999999996, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.28130393281718, "cagr_3y_pct": 186.07163097728247 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 57328.17355493981, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.40927877470456, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.277335632394632 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1243910.171903083, "yoy_growth_pct": 2069.80603910396, "cagr_3y_pct": 128.90029775892785 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 1873224.5059625406, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.59162215038864, "cagr_3y_pct": 302.3978910549674 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 2016085.654183004, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.626482985127048, "cagr_3y_pct": 227.62745725738446 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 2158631.4981402196, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.070425984206552, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.17012056256331 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 2458434.1130141737, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.88854999717417, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.485409636835174 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 3720798.5065400847, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.34831097743693, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.661722093745105 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 2557792.1097764582, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.256903450143792, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.818656783991494 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 4179077.939243449, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.38614554599924, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.345843719502632 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 5379232.92960527, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.71817677990205, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.07364688459245 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 4105160.739012539, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.68501619590998, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.08150808882516 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 4221628.519953196, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.837106470249262, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.3382482828529154 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 4460044.276726281, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.6474830896710015, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.0551580886517575 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "export_value_usd": 3445524.99431673, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.746843292645934, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.671756818997231 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25634620.22501254, "current_below_peak_pct": 10.842575864923331, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6473359905225698, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "UZB", "distance_km": 5736, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "importer_population": 34915.1, "importer_biz_entry_days": 3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.1296613789272, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-UZB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-UZB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-UZB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-UZB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-UZB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }