{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.490Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Syrian Arab Republic: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Syrian Arab Republic, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SYR", "country_name": "Syrian Arab Republic" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "all_history_lane_count": 5, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 218913.578, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 218913.578, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 218913.578, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 218913.578, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 218913.578, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0173559793777003, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 86.64480227573777, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 218913.578, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3871.73583984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 21445.775364, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1266, "buyer_population_latest": 18275.703, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0.9043464757107378, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.065563203855846, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9239347234722777, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 21445.775364, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1266, "buyer_population_2024": 18275.703 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 516605.8578932964, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 569854.3545422312, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.30737376190054, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 394917, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.698608012350782, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 580048, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.8784580050998, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9365273547618207 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 559344, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5693597771218943, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.618616683398221 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 436264.9426399389, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.004179424479588, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.374834844557162 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 276387.22963346646, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.646931114614866, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.893949175529738 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 126005.29488493316, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.409870871372654, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.15335963595783 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 956152.5780441588, "yoy_growth_pct": 658.8193646285328, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.894958346123502 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1299595.5434143082, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.919263646464586, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.53160411283157 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 662521.2292110611, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.02096790279229, "cagr_3y_pct": 73.88828917754566 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 736902.41980528, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.226989764960882, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.31585047495722 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 774888.6709483834, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.154854987874913, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.832641147278803 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 912087.8194297445, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.705659357936355, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.244603469742387 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1218567.659083241, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.60200992982383, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.25328709517928 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1229813.5239723502, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9228757061852333, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.645140627977064 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1259287.0469387304, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.396584717265071, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.351488470624481 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1092809.722939492, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.219966361437386, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5656773837562827 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 745570.7949479828, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.774875415409852, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.36502419339303 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1162726.1373827348, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.951137740562416, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6242311668464247 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 709222.1628971174, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.00350735268088, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.420996525881868 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1413266.1799151322, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.26988380369413, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.759446820834018 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1359636.0625196844, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7947640832011076, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.3533654145281995 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1980783.084, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.68480041116318, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.826658074870515 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1209142.8700000003, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.95632087294217, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.066851570889441 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 634412.478, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.53204987265072, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.43787834001977 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 487716.50699999987, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.12312195725762, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.32271457438541 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 507864.853, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.131159333510137, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.11005476236661 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 1413317.1800000002, "yoy_growth_pct": 178.28607781212224, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.603848341495233 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "export_value_usd": 438163.0959992496, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.99753981627468, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.508413451484582 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79827401.64330341, "current_below_peak_pct": 86.64480227573779, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0173559793777003, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SYR", "distance_km": 3851, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 21445.775364, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1173.4582994700668, "importer_population": 18275.703, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.381889623030307, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SYR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SYR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SYR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SYR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SYR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }