{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.450Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Singapore: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Singapore, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SGP", "country_name": "Singapore" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "all_history_lane_count": 60, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4853350.382933944, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2943537.8636300196, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1788180.4938681466, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2438998.9770623334, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0705535044056764, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 39.130590466115805, "product_concentration_hhi": 1406.9403996946448, "top1_product_share_pct": 20.301298155339726, "top3_product_share_pct": 53.42885646743931, "top_product_hs6": "090111", "top_product_trade_usd": 985293.1317627423, "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7463.73046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.04969999939203262, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 396986.899888, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 72794, "buyer_population_latest": 5453.566, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.791336242259628, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.573928477882984, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.1423129294040102, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.51, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 51.083999999999996, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 396986.899888, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 72794, "buyer_population_2024": 5453.566 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9521659.219221184, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9994147.077338265, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.962242895264302, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 12636291.84958901, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.436921047938245, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9575410.664328624, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.222938356397183, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.187819561118574 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 8779230.069756918, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.314845414805294, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.228365817329416 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 8095826.843496203, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.784318451966898, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.792075844027174 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 14817667.595894104, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.02846494052554, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.666469495450674 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 6746571.043081385, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.469412953015464, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.404200902922533 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 5112948.662751712, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.214113657114076, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.203400770382801 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 4701329.368255993, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.050526646089795, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.795408822426918 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9743353.103621714, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.24676661478223, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.033831206389767 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9394411.778747937, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5813268919102526, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.48024697199602 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 18621087.033337705, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.2145074315603, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.220025640872585 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 42081250.23731774, "yoy_growth_pct": 125.98707670491436, "cagr_3y_pct": 62.85211283971448 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 23991092.39460151, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.988641593813306, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.68687365419607 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 40951498.29902046, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.69459625037912, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.04338194060081 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 27151317.129923623, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.698843124933795, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.589320016028239 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 13257544.875521027, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.17163262437162, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.938831987076686 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 11097029.765780397, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.296494788638014, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.28886979827309 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 8867541.631232971, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.090854774693277, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.13411845244387 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 14316223.51277497, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.44523598683569, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.593958761274795 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 6037488.140210052, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.82764822844134, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.36372501432548 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 9229207.224861134, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.86501622080269, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.341435965906257 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 7967611.198675632, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.669603417150322, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.744195489579205 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 13906363.16779157, "yoy_growth_pct": 74.53616675099649, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.06439882831129 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 7855924.373291708, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.508419286167076, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.228526687456014 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 10145590.567241149, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.145726017090578, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.388465098660802 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 16794454.399363674, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.53451756264323, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.492112969991659 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 10337350.213670135, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.44783541130216, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.581517908342075 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "export_value_usd": 7570432.761140001, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.766215667832903, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.298502345906002 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48413844.26655326, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3169531743083638, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "410320", "hs_description": "Hides and skins: raw, of reptiles (fresh or salted, dried, limed, pickled or otherwise preserved, but not tanned, parchment-dressed or further prepared), whether or not dehaired or split", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28357942.00015083, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.0764693976773, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4092855459621114, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "210120", "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of tea or mate, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of tea or mate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18564033.30605753, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.65299548999958, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5516930465859103, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "080440", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: avocados, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18660546.730860766, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.475675714254855, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.387724322009682, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "740819", "hs_description": "Copper: wire, of refined copper, of which the maximum cross-sectional dimension is 6mm or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21227533.00755551, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.0736072610168623, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.44237949871233323, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14247113.262729015, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.6680365005239, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.960627973959109, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "060319", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19442040.122566618, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.81286642430132, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1229326564848843, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "220890", "hs_description": "Spirits, liqueurs and other spirituous beverages: n.e.c. in heading no. 2208", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141870564.10582072, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.61429106749884, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8091253311672767, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "210112", "hs_description": "Preparations with a basis of extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29057153.68275461, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1828952145681948, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "hs_code": "070820", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: beans (vigna spp., phaseolus spp.), shelled or unshelled, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13628038.398973556, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.36133294624251, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5837962825232964, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "SGP", "distance_km": 7467, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 396986.89988800004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 72794.00302260944, "importer_population": 5453.566, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.3564984112044444, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SGP/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SGP/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SGP/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SGP/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-SGP/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }