{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.634Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 57, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 545131576.6948656, "attention_trade_usd": 540273480.351725, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 9192874.719360035, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5469639.491291387, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 536438001.8266989, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 7, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6383391395899416, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.7520970967411728, "product_concentration_hhi": 9649.240364324532, "top1_product_share_pct": 98.22408289664989, "top3_product_share_pct": 99.79829341692891, "top_product_hs6": "090240", "top_product_trade_usd": 535450491.78857934, "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "090240", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 5435.7900390625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.007000000216066837, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.10882132849554, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 122718638.75023343, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 137000814.80727002, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.638147393489916, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 66711316.4778347, "yoy_growth_pct": -51.30589801842943, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 122890332.92477216, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.21212383899413, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.0466145340574764 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 115630387.06154265, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.907662295677662, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.496126469368557 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 112345255.12944071, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.841062817123907, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.9739118151129 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 93609849.45676492, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.676632805799795, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.672561843063898 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 56036944.99223594, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.13776828247392, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.4521762363163 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 131023927.28162473, "yoy_growth_pct": 133.81704213136248, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.260467036600303 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 138830428.5481892, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.958073024162269, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.039255265820326 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 177384418.3394786, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.77056168050869, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.82961923893907 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 174491045.2769316, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.6311314655663045, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.020642590418905 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 166004649.55892232, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.863513600105196, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.1398646087046815 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 172038438.9386164, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.634711073289809, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0148584853741593 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 166132558.2835756, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.432884355076038, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.6229332029160548 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 211482743.13572726, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.297590141688154, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.405560918490874 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 236283983.62387687, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.727311704214305, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.15685834232496 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 236749339.025276, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.19694750116447945, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.532510433739375 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 259897346.24867496, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.777432671492114, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.113029654493186 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 260018618.04579195, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.04666142185267841, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.2420740325000974 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 339211943.775403, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.456790488619667, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.735523736246556 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 385250777.2747343, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.572291407820902, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.019874730292292 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 529083082.8475848, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.33472170784984, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.71843769541762 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 506575178.15815824, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.254134259649067, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.302989750102668 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 406980742.3427332, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.660346599992817, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8458753749265755 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 494365887.0331784, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.471567472068486, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.236920485780336 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 475847107.3637606, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7459663288164857, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.0642675016137146 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 516138673.45063317, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.467334457509224, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.242425127685715 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 510888907.243979, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0171232028704624, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1019020039681582 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 550174546.3502028, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.689663750609221, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.956906092076552 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 607243711.3984448, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6268518765027764, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70908244.99487367, "current_below_peak_pct": 74.09681498937188, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.081702940798538, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071331", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: beans of the species vigna mungo (l.) hepper or vigna radiata (l.) wilczek, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53952279.36119297, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5929280049723469, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071339", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: n.e.c. in item no. 0713.3, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91784797.3025696, "current_below_peak_pct": 81.94688941834941, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.076275209145072, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "390769", "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of less than 78ml/g", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23985353.387066144, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9819403231407632, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "081340", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruit n.e.c. in heading no. 0812, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11281601.79491821, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.05279386102218, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6727613928056437, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "391590", "hs_description": "Plastics n.e.c. in heading no. 3915: waste, parings and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11355549.00290638, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.05822891011454, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5666518213063301, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "090931", "hs_description": "Spices: cumin seeds, neither crushed nor ground", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40919568.772671945, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30491979.05833886, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6898528231510255, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "830990", "hs_description": "Stoppers: caps and lids, of base metal", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15917694.495498035, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.74969795959341, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.611074885233663, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 4364, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 40.08605510242425, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }