{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.509Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kenya exports to Namibia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Namibia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NAM",
    "country_name": "Namibia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 14,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2002,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 78024.51883225779,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 78024.51883225779,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 61133.561453076894,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 78024.51883225779,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 3,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 2.1611127814865645,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3566.6275663453025,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 42.94966518915657,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "610910",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 33511.26960390514,
    "top_product_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 3188.505859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4729,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2587.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2904996761134768,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3852682406449879,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.713355164102671,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.18,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 9.026,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 12236.250784,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4729,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2587.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 57401.37530882659,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 84879.17880073143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.86959083135347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 105497.16182424073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.29097844114818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 275503.01203489286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 161.14732118943968,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 68.68171884198058
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 724156.9341166657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 162.84900799013778,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 104.33550782303693
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 179373.42940858245,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.23003358002998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.354586301260458
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 185208.6807926154,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.253130300999718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.398475855600521
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 578996.7876601304,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 212.61860145122097,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.185786921547555
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1227925.143802535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.07805811235758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.87651860637405
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1175865.4668005544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.23964581755909,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.167785448344
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 799257.4064987884,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.02815891230223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.34485953780031
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 563325.0232671044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.518948628227903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.874904113065398
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1081410.9164716897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.96926672986288,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7526659364302097
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 231220.1419780221,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.61866026538533,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.862719777831074
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1670031.859629202,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 622.2691956429737,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.655383001354345
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 694282.8910011302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.42696730616371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.73223009624942
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 386176.4177787726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.37765602693731,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.646071285287103
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 3226804.8025370035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 735.5779001465414,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.551600535009598
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 442406.106207578,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -86.28965390593983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.947884830837264
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 934400.6912466072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 111.20881428525857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.25046556709097
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 2514136.8955975785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 169.06410912896544,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.982151299367235
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 555178.5089728108,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.91772954189705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.862507252340478
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 1017698.4025496353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.3101220781361,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8873497757099464
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 221629.4642999646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.22248087009694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.49458465603463
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "export_value_usd": 525921.119637656,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 137.29747364540285,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7884296926834908
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "610910",
      "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12449214.740085058,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8878263067048944,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "880330",
      "hs_description": "Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14940276.703011617,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.769448777194655,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "NAM",
      "hs_code": "847989",
      "hs_description": "Machines and mechanical appliances: n.e.s. in item no. 8479.8, having individual functions",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14496466.90646811,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.359829874236357,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "NAM",
    "distance_km": 3178,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 12236.250784,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4729.270937300954,
    "importer_population": 2587.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 54,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.9,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-NAM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-NAM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-NAM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-NAM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-NAM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}