{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.520Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MKD", "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "all_history_lane_count": 1, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 20676.030057579293, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "392010", "top_product_trade_usd": 20676.030057579293, "top_product_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polymers of ethylene, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 5059.623046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721, "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721, "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1798.5429060089803, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 18883.112754134578, "yoy_growth_pct": 949.9117197063017, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1052.8567574104827, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.42434745203778, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2709.309537966098, "yoy_growth_pct": 157.32935832882777, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.633778517463192 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 7726.259619795147, "yoy_growth_pct": 185.17448861141634, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.761035838234537 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 34174.348215447826, "yoy_growth_pct": 342.3142619734272, "cagr_3y_pct": 218.98993773100756 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 9213.536211903085, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.03961394137637, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.37970910612417 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 2024.710972997992, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.02460503294878, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.007180358707835 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 23648.483045053636, "yoy_growth_pct": 1067.9930301378915, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.54935264061181 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 1412.0534084377568, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.0289894884691, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.48507446447542 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 5131.783073972113, "yoy_growth_pct": 263.4269811118353, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.34370285090767 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 37950.419916964456, "yoy_growth_pct": 639.5172276366311, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.07686894241993 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 43556.16918140268, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.771244367529013, "cagr_3y_pct": 213.61694324238195 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 64260.271633859884, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.53425942081542, "cagr_3y_pct": 132.2156163152199 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 39246.571084636715, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.92560662012983, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1257396496121785 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 17963.279678379342, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.229683812018, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.564749907128448 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 34509.6672147564, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.11228591119884, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.717059789180535 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 54907.06104453868, "yoy_growth_pct": 59.10631853633266, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.843004797840994 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 68142.5983737266, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.105346520826764, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.95920739451379 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 69539.13782114392, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.049436741108712, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.30760787480608 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 115436.83712009499, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.00268674167474, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.10676770820222 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 35384.4043607399, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.34738923596144, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.623134362039295 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 98286.20003774755, "yoy_growth_pct": 177.76700445691029, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.224517691026149 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 44578.514454470285, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.6441774762382, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.178370795198436 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 69428.81854324252, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.74502513795696, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.191822527934793 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 87048.13201615393, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.377521672700688, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.966600281211119 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 117891.16279460269, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.43215697348343, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.28823058673858 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "export_value_usd": 116012.40585259163, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5936367896246306, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.664701946695338 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "hs_code": "392010", "hs_description": "Plastics: plates, sheets, film, foil and strip, of polymers of ethylene, non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13337859.554558504, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MKD", "distance_km": 5038, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366, "importer_population": 2065.092, "importer_biz_entry_days": 15, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634922, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MKD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MKD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MKD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MKD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MKD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }