{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.947Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Mexico: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Mexico, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MEX", "country_name": "Mexico" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "all_history_lane_count": 41, "current_lane_count": 25, "current_product_count": 25, "first_observed_last_year": 1997, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 17089029.166090596, "attention_trade_usd": 11536351.905017437, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11354175.005680468, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4110252.260317255, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5213672.478753783, "access_friction_trade_usd": 17089029.166090596, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 14, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 15, "access_friction_lane_count": 25, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4338175593514333, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.65214150655414, "product_concentration_hhi": 1283.9159105985298, "top1_product_share_pct": 27.764231802569856, "top3_product_share_pct": 51.816225747744596, "top_product_hs6": "151590", "top_product_trade_usd": 4744637.670482163, "top_product_description": "Vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: fixed, n.e.s. in heading no. 1515, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "top_attention_product_hs6": "151590", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 14835.1728515625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0035000001080334187, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 9926, "buyer_population_latest": 130262.222, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.317392234827791, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.467884470952012, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7979004824760771, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.68, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.506, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.50735687144112, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1293037.8663599999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 9926, "buyer_population_2024": 130262.222 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1168200.7139779779, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1274295.3935534607, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.08188792439677, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 213148.81369659177, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.27320221238409, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1043673.3685266038, "yoy_growth_pct": 389.64540333413646, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6875616389077104 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 765783.1623602717, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.62616624573271, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.612413408807246 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2435986.1818460394, "yoy_growth_pct": 218.10391003347775, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.24956806251963 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 5002565.245770005, "yoy_growth_pct": 105.36098616039604, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.60717555358494 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1860896.8500213686, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.80114783920353, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.443196372014405 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2680461.340774761, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.04137127450032, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.239266236235938 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2624005.9712774414, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.106181075568203, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.352541484862982 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1821610.0108837818, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.57904475739551, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.708737112908997 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1745214.6187125957, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.193839060761517, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.327811107201526 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 8191776.105085065, "yoy_growth_pct": 369.38502676123284, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.15188405982589 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 2287376.605674441, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.07715913702101, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.8849232370338695 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 565939.1275918571, "yoy_growth_pct": -75.25815704384246, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.297328284410796 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1944600.2263025076, "yoy_growth_pct": 243.60589884940958, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.081928780297844 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1737968.4391000625, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.625926316759616, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.749608412080478 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1583776.3286736866, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.871974137011263, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.92067309698657 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1884481.2070633315, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.986574868274886, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0413353491226962 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 848668.6112786751, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.96539800462155, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.253350470130393 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 1210390.8732976012, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.6223212702453, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.57241165125443 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 8655424.92918477, "yoy_growth_pct": 615.0933735648421, "cagr_3y_pct": 66.22596430732663 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 12316943.144126398, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.30315952017038, "cagr_3y_pct": 143.924224160732 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 9438848.823912684, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.366953038069326, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.30384271194721 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 6474320.684215532, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.40772985140646, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.224509489748044 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 9714630.018467758, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.04863818612102, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.606565874199267 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 4019124.782525882, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.62812299711442, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.767732225583106 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 11108453.108910823, "yoy_growth_pct": 176.38985376138385, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.716256031031108 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 14777413.012507604, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.02854022630448, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.006940134378555 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "export_value_usd": 19443741.684252195, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.57743962217885, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.12823535470672 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "151590", "hs_description": "Vegetable fats and oils and their fractions: fixed, n.e.s. in heading no. 1515, whether or not refined, but not chemically modified", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56971687.5387981, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.32966409931628, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2887618772176197, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "120991", "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 567507496.6129645, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.95036036052944, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8651499458804086, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "261400", "hs_description": "Titanium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125891372.61392754, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.87070464281416, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7285721871982402, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 801017456.2589724, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0158170738149335, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "620463", "hs_description": "Trousers, bib and brace overalls, breeches and shorts: women's or girls', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119006071.3530419, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.055813787588039, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "621143", "hs_description": "Track suits and other garments n.e.c.: women's or girls', of man-made fibres (not knitted or crocheted)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70657752.96106473, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.786182606720888, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "210120", "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of tea or mate, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of tea or mate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 72094543.29016516, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.91799256881172, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1885788286048529, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "611030", "hs_description": "Jerseys, pullovers, cardigans, waistcoats and similar articles: of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 475886132.09121615, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1226920477877154, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "610711", "hs_description": "Underpants and briefs: men's or boys', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 42869694.07138517, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.191458943351495, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7657674132189782, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "hs_code": "610712", "hs_description": "Underpants and briefs: men's or boys', of man-made fibres, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51224433.71480426, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3199465468223492, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "MEX", "distance_km": 14831, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1293037.8663599999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 9926.42261514624, "importer_population": 130262.222, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 15.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 13.60029642040404, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MEX/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MEX/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MEX/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MEX/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-MEX/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }