{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.450Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Sri Lanka: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Sri Lanka, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "LKA", "country_name": "Sri Lanka" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 5859862.30239023, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5843188.102711683, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7024854189182455, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.85322906175302, "product_concentration_hhi": 9943.252068069452, "top1_product_share_pct": 99.7154506570616, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "090240", "top_product_trade_usd": 5843188.102711683, "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 4865.70458984375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.007000000216066837, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3815, "buyer_population_latest": 22156, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1452073861579324, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.039656303460391, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.1034412369869564, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.916000000000004, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.772, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 84518.83039300001, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3815, "buyer_population_2024": 22156 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2520171.328667851, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2897343.62583856, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.966137138385749, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2735884.591780394, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.572657403087156, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 3996435.5233722287, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.074711461842895, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.61316465444369 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 1635810.56323516, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.068260862248366, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.349719048214418 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2591037.779075362, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.39473330891316, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7968714049148904 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2277816.7384958183, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.088632713465087, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.088394839483144 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 1459112.2953593843, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.94250710779633, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.73866000550116 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 3565088.41066519, "yoy_growth_pct": 144.33269611967026, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.224087911013836 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 4837744.306556227, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.69773731511974, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.540911972918124 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 6568209.9961460065, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.770094075551114, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.1148385073236 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 6601408.22162842, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5054379427864353, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.797284137222327 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 7257256.101938071, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.934969301866126, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.47478755794882 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 10930450.564617515, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.61409451567387, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.503272859890927 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 8155887.487698404, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.38379420424376, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.30292122684566 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 10245298.793329086, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.61844200011536, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.180505625549953 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 10602871.206401723, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4901121020058268, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.009130136328995 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 6518770.930112897, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.5188143549547, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.196398315008379 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2965450.4995628097, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.5090549835987, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.8511928882295 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 4918625.599504649, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.86436361793231, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.58827236676928 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2418782.253535842, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.82402177999814, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.141686896262506 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2405563.4110362506, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5465081646050529, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.737144134996997 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 3654403.698792361, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.91466922163339, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.42863382560648 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 3662642.367370595, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.2254449496358779, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.832789228641463 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2180037.4956227536, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.47910560299124, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.2281482850754384 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2929346.0846326584, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.371362442821464, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.106629536861875 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 3664727.1030851305, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.10393095272283, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.018969367779630986 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 2089313.6782614943, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.98856041688297, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4068910742773943 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 3124924.477879467, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.567032963652366, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.177737189676865 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "export_value_usd": 6237849.2288998645, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.61599946033857, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.39819034396699 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15101696.958610972, "current_below_peak_pct": 37.96124754220559, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7044900407001241, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "hs_code": "121190", "hs_description": "Plants and parts (including seeds and fruits) n.e.c. in heading no. 1211, of a kind used primarily in perfumery, in pharmacy or for insecticidal, fungicidal or similar purposes, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not cut, crushed or powdered", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11800693.411010727, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "LKA", "distance_km": 4866, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 84518.830393, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3814.715219037733, "importer_population": 22156, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 8.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 21.97737046626262, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-LKA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-LKA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-LKA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-LKA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-LKA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }