{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.976Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Kyrgyzstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Kyrgyzstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KGZ", "country_name": "Kyrgyzstan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "all_history_lane_count": 2, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2011, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4048425.5255818125, "attention_trade_usd": 4048425.5255818125, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4048425.5255818125, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 4048425.5255818125, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4118806242306488, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "060311", "top_product_trade_usd": 4048425.5255818125, "top_product_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "top_attention_product_hs6": "060311", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6198.080078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.336056162375479, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019157, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.596653270114942, "tariff_advantage_pp": -3.1787583950957847, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 8543.423503, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1276, "buyer_population_latest": 6694.2, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.276519998542934, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 11.221783044836409, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.8474231373167171, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.829999999999995, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": -9.092, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 100, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 8543.423503, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1276, "buyer_population_2024": 6694.2 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 50031.43119764902, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 21847.390702905966, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.33266892446487, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 26386.562713026255, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.776723737157887, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 16.23796318809643, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.93846124118289, "cagr_3y_pct": -93.12779337767905 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 83.86978459156207, "yoy_growth_pct": 416.5043399842446, "cagr_3y_pct": -84.34203501971636 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 171542.0791032066, "yoy_growth_pct": 204433.8257855321, "cagr_3y_pct": 86.63622854804291 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 140204.7965690329, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.26798573154751, "cagr_3y_pct": 1951.5263826182231 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 246839.20551714915, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.05617750432133, "cagr_3y_pct": 1333.0770380790102 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 617378.8509379106, "yoy_growth_pct": 150.11377331427127, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.24760391632684 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 386382.0618939226, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.41572758656405, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.201080731458674 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 256763.53721474865, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.54672420448945, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.322618157018285 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 574913.3413953906, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.90770419810497, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.3474594922440084 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 398582.291978741, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.670891892797414, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.041631051232983 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 591904.6732942439, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.50250129170666, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.10101047029505 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 899273.1286080941, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.928708993492464, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.08151739009078 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 907360.7912234354, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8993555303781431, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.548934910941774 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 670942.343779321, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.055616435149332, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.266423668076591 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 1323502.42788781, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.26023259058485, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.748158722790738 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 649676.453229053, "yoy_growth_pct": -50.91233385450771, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.537910119027316 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 944721.1427507966, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.41409620978234, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.08293060611092 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 1426339.8758086963, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.97998883094157, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.5257040988925006 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 1512929.9136241474, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.0707857421679945, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.54821831849408 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 2282020.976997467, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.83454669297937, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.17512208224587 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 2581721.896286283, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.133136036424276, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.86962593135371 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 3718506.9932014723, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.03205080107253, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.953224013624215 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "export_value_usd": 5522909.606500199, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.52492187315249, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.26086296818207 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "hs_code": "060311", "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12431221.889743477, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4118806242306488, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "KGZ", "distance_km": 6179, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 8543.423503, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1276.2426433330345, "importer_population": 6694.2, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.336056162375479, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417894875019157, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.596653270114942, "tariff_advantage_pp": -3.1787583950957847 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KGZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KGZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KGZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KGZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KGZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }