{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:03.669Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kenya exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KAZ",
    "country_name": "Kazakhstan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "all_history_lane_count": 16,
    "current_lane_count": 6,
    "current_product_count": 6,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 60002472.823367454,
    "attention_trade_usd": 59677879.283114955,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 32081563.373429865,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 27920909.449937597,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 60002472.823367454,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3964465333334612,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 23.8147586990935,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4685.146348193087,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 50.11830337289196,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.45903306150727,
    "top_product_hs6": "060311",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 30072221.360852353,
    "top_product_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "060311",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6367.7060546875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.628611673333335,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.9927733172413795,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.8183954361685837,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041,
    "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.45903306150727,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041,
    "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 239.18435613110196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 2456.123506629499,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 926.8746444618001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 8644.337937943177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 251.95045829782683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 9016.616735671167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.3066201298531,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 235.30261941377185
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 556.7044484837899,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.82579447697518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -39.028787732531946
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 331.3146965379135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.48642912046701,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -66.28397855503604
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 352867.58673571295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106405.26234514112,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 239.512722000195
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 3875182.105010921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 998.1972418773943,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1809.3658091971824
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 12394729.61982027,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 219.84895893777204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3244.507073982139
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 14987192.56633753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.915849123257036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 248.90150279403312
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 17273253.230637036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.253428246689694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 64.57379150021181
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 25130256.972512577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.48653132659351,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.566845880344903
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 34810625.471610196,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.52077004101464,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.43329350868831
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 32601964.458043855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.344789798067874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.582376712541596
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 40295111.09818956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.59718737208667,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.044715226641706
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 44225283.1530685,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.753471197292507,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.306103552223455
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 48919953.339829594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.615353598782695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.484692372878417
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 60179956.845290124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.017200010885695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.305336059121366
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 48480074.086366735,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.441494099108947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1092317212034537
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 35647646.84036671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.46948769743872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.012619294430248
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 36969322.25419076,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.707609143859125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.991333104157823
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 42712549.23560871,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.535115688432487,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.134117946191784
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 44105726.15931037,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.261750817111597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.354775982389894
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 44185969.47593174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.18193401086183947,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.124168323834978
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 43947532.715466596,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.5396209776386662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.954651803723161
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 43116210.57687995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.891624141835102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7534994196881084
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 44385204.44104664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.9431943280450623,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.15007498575967393
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 54536589.47670254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.871101222794145,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.461069622673633
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "export_value_usd": 60872195.88068849,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.617166501936204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.182761929346174
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "060311",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119027787.30197276,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.20086588456425,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57398363.594312176,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.65539149389194,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4965334001869423,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "060319",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27578090.48785341,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.171461508356705,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8705241803461792,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "060314",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: chrysanthemums, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11715044.113054557,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.137267187092625,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3813799935259479,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "070999",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: edible, n.e.c. in chapter 07, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12277113.077896584,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8282184904110377,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
      "hs_code": "060312",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: carnations, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10544648.217124814,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.12802398382891,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3951508692423409,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "KAZ",
    "distance_km": 6349,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548,
    "importer_population": 19002.586,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.628611673333335,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 5.9927733172413795,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.8183954361685837
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KAZ/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KAZ/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KAZ/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KAZ/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}