{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.927Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kenya exports to Ireland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Ireland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRL",
    "country_name": "Ireland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "IRL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 45,
    "current_lane_count": 23,
    "current_product_count": 23,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 31329425.82399568,
    "attention_trade_usd": 26280886.699952904,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 6454776.1377299335,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6602652.483846441,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 28293421.116531685,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 15,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 15,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6196269648023741,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.316427844626869,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3341.156020862445,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 55.28719419852494,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 73.63831153172384,
    "top_product_hs6": "090240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 17321160.496595316,
    "top_product_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090240",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 7266.43212890625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.06859999895095825,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4809610734740284,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.200052864235014,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.720360262633673,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 498559.576715,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 99152,
    "buyer_population_latest": 5028.23,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.388160023916559,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.648529039884776,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6311814140269831,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 28.335999999999995,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 45.94800000000001,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 83.88563150692654,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 498559.576715,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 99152,
    "buyer_population_2024": 5028.23
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 11707843.922587257,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 12473778.352427024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.542062184157538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 20059367.095875654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.81227779690907,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 15930242.726034738,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.584519691500603,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.810731793820416
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 17709195.12879665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.167139342168175,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.391534346825717
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 10649635.042241976,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.86381106092863,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.027198318738627
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 9396480.044360537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.767116834621804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.13496467996348
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 8845405.687328655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.8646892711980865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.65742135346137
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 12983259.316396657,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.779693044442475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.827484523893701
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 12879734.312525176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7973729966306631,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.082906906152811
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 13071253.999832114,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.4869847673852243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.902476277026166
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 16431965.368944976,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.710703572557204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.168778766556173
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 17737060.70925149,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.942417787546163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.256377709025678
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 16089158.432619188,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.290729189266234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.169702415772283
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 15862062.195567468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.4114861134769119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1697154400567955
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 17088525.154402133,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.732052388354593,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2339595475049592
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 18058671.5082097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.677180125504577,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9243914186392503
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 19722769.091483045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.214950183444138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.531593242185997
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 18374819.676685214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.834483578575801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.448633011622281
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 20153726.649889704,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.681221391585382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7265313595062244
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 42968733.72287734,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 113.20490482643564,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.636775973451158
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 16481370.92510983,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.64334040792352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.560100467504712
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 18334442.910913482,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.243433536104973,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.10438618503569
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 21346642.540051393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.429185461342357,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.799910180645053
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 20667082.71728703,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.1834506128509243,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.8355475905285354
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 18792743.80136739,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.069199274805461,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8263761314444062
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 22122530.781911787,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.718471638516743,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.197179924584102
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 39995246.858237736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 80.78965400712362,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.616744447598315
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 47768718.737415195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.43598924824832,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.474381005126055
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "export_value_usd": 34906648.1735943,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.925718134756217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.41915611298126
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27894332.777110063,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.21379619271894648,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "210120",
      "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of tea or mate, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of tea or mate",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56241501.92945742,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.09377757476987,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9798319040872338,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "070999",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables: edible, n.e.c. in chapter 07, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15081221.161590163,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1957372291033377,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "060311",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: roses, flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21348715.58067071,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9944373661871595,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "070410",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, brassica: cauliflowers and headed broccoli, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21514286.546280906,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.528229866936493,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "060319",
      "hs_description": "Flowers, cut: flowers and buds of a kind suitable for bouquets or ornamental purposes, fresh, other than roses, carnations, orchids, or chrysanthemums",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33844368.69033453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6719288622656887,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "210111",
      "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56065085.13449328,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0753439015220205,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "390769",
      "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of less than 78ml/g",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14437465.380780099,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7666754477707891,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "090230",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content not exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22041186.647100873,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 61.2197045306983,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1840007843694569,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "IRL",
      "hs_code": "330129",
      "hs_description": "Oils, essential: n.e.s. in heading no. 3301 (terpeneless or not), including concretes and absolutes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41140729.90059838,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 83.69602598138948,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7532619754228189,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "IRL",
    "distance_km": 7246,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 498559.576715,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 99152.10257187916,
    "importer_population": 5028.23,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 11,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.4809610734740284,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.920413126868687,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.200052864235014,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.720360262633673
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IRL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IRL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IRL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IRL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IRL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}