{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.935Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IND", "country_name": "India" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "all_history_lane_count": 144, "current_lane_count": 37, "current_product_count": 37, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 153635876.5690284, "attention_trade_usd": 20227767.896811426, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 104568512.08775334, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 32545309.447631225, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 37607520.24875811, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 22, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 12, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 17, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6544628157052392, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.871276432789012, "product_concentration_hhi": 2023.033819005693, "top1_product_share_pct": 37.673169915961715, "top3_product_share_pct": 66.98143722620343, "top_product_hs6": "071360", "top_product_trade_usd": 57879504.83172729, "top_product_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: pigeon peas (Cajanus cajan), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "top_attention_product_hs6": "071333", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5439.08251953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.016100000590085983, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277, "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 13.166044512866835, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277, "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 20232460.687138055, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 24877599.24798156, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.958841401809615, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 22151434.40700269, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.958311587079915, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 33506343.17240946, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.26037689828864, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.311268020793037 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 23165074.75512708, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.863613985180628, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.349363255965853 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 18447225.631604537, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.366215837392666, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.917308042716895 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 33828703.7928665, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.38098350632079, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.31967311504252915 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 27475711.23141085, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.779887637300817, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.853465082372411 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 37322619.36752674, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.83859232316682, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.477620198525976 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 49701814.213862345, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.16807623932836, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.683026792589015 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 44987828.974342324, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.484533540840534, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.864232005750512 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 54799282.255641356, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.809128168631453, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.658237771726078 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 73143600.27777645, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.47547133292357, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.745623921403126 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 83529365.67341548, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.199144362865868, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.90834834958129 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 65415926.54337381, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.685115149637202, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.080658979916653 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 102776895.8038475, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.112955872759265, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.005595916274947 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 120362554.67036621, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.110517620693088, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.949437181379508 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 104974877.73043454, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.78443863382055, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.07584296769471 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 116274390.51273808, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.764016140432764, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1988338194920205 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 121202720.4252964, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.238534290161167, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.23213710044780456 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 109460922.76758662, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.687734414300431, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4046590494751987 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 123516956.13649258, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.84114276905055, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.0346086249000805 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 66188228.81702213, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.41364968233128, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.26222768108561 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 117530716.3069996, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.57042061348125, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.399403319905802 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 80233972.91308008, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.733613616799072, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.394812633117315 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 85438927.4010255, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.487220187368892, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.882564863381614 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 134351203.81671762, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.248233215887765, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.559474780438522 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 95868159.07680541, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.64361736007287, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.113839813335753 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 100109749.45936655, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.424399533074319, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.424171240995568 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "export_value_usd": 161553089.67810127, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.37598041205159, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.338672733071027 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "071360", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: pigeon peas (Cajanus cajan), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1069783406.7055086, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.616903394572938, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "090240", "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70164296.9860478, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7426850469100627, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "283620", "hs_description": "Carbonates: disodium carbonate", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 186640358.8959289, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.63636528741173, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.680259420615365, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "740400", "hs_description": "Copper: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1843923668.8744233, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3860873031263556, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3388461868.8749886, "current_below_peak_pct": 8.117951828647033, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3761463957254336, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 133931199.5233552, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.091083253774535, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4801523065339481, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 232224814.92726868, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.87721667766052, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3518487681274092, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "071335", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: cow peas (Vigna unguiculata), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61555831.80217476, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9333476191698553, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "261400", "hs_description": "Titanium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 61040905.47046429, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0211458424411297, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "hs_code": "720421", "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of stainless steel", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1419441773.005506, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.602754513781612, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2602033830843435, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "IND", "distance_km": 5433, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774, "importer_population": 1393409.058, "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 53.231020013737364, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IND/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IND/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IND/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IND/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-IND/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }