{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.512Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kenya exports to Guatemala: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Guatemala, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KEN",
    "country_name": "Kenya"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GTM",
    "country_name": "Guatemala"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "all_history_lane_count": 5,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 52903.76399695829,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 52903.76399695829,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9859927653258174,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "120991",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 52903.76399695829,
    "top_product_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 14061.0498046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5026,
    "buyer_population_latest": 17109.747,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.963421520392089,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.390193560081858,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4787339957434753,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.206,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 4.184,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85986.321551,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5026,
    "buyer_population_2024": 17109.747
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 27080.287421504192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 928.4032052256487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.57166413792044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 31532.699194201305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3296.444456106469,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 8126.048467230361,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.22977203066492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.05131573793364
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 5792.101725070134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.721792044094418,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 84.09126548301269
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 49845.71292942042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 760.5807579944887,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.490065116454076
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 95414.46912339219,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.41960966331317,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 127.28892608431428
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 113382.56712850086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.831628127461375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 169.50699086752823
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 24420.449361589923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.46190117223816,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.16689852142526
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 37831.449353537035,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.91708933514061,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.535152653811146
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 9654.425585020577,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.48042369511296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.006006677829056
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 12493.964901264433,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.411789352331553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.01985076678794
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 177533.33394665326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1320.952718769734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.42063174629243
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 25531.167152752645,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.61894457498079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.28701742047171
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 569482.4146098633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2130.5381152481486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 257.21252542562223
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 26735.111575009425,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.30536661200945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.79725618330113
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 96205.708027141,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 259.8477895153766,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.612109601584756
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 23284.26453525533,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.79741887177161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -65.5496158526367
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 44583.23108909677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.47364960397226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.585024149040173
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 24747.247474682863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -44.492027898949146,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.402210576761085
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 31739.749672532867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.255676535354212,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.87841033599175
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 10984.136701177551,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.39312119817042,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.31002022378114
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 99429.32384816997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 805.2083614136983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.97513224112436
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 815623.0969382761,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 720.3043783982123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 195.09510542510648
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 1131781.9042935693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.76285609641326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 368.81223669209504
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "export_value_usd": 1406322.319661145,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.257360391261717,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 141.83739780001616
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
      "importer_iso3": "GTM",
      "hs_code": "120991",
      "hs_description": "Seed: vegetable seed, of a kind used for sowing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20913900.481830187,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9859927653258174,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KEN",
    "importer_iso3": "GTM",
    "distance_km": 14063,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85986.321551,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5025.575278874668,
    "importer_population": 17109.747,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 17.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.896681036969698,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-GTM/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-GTM/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-GTM/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-GTM/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-GTM/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}