{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.494Z", "seo": { "title": "Kenya exports to Colombia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kenya to Colombia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "importer": { "iso3": "COL", "country_name": "Colombia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "all_history_lane_count": 22, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 163456.2621155548, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 42034.779939473796, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 42034.779939473796, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 80446.16237147107, "access_friction_trade_usd": 163456.2621155548, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 3, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.581769037947108, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.325111732891756, "product_concentration_hhi": 3711.9182935900435, "top1_product_share_pct": 49.21571148776176, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "292910", "top_product_trade_usd": 80446.16237147107, "top_product_description": "Nitrogen-function compounds: n.e.c. in chapter 29, isocyanates", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 12457.794921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111114, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111114, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 314322.45322799997, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6131, "buyer_population_latest": 51265.842, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.330966912771773, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.116926115920405, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.166035957976419, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.89, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 19.468, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 314322.45322799997, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6131, "buyer_population_2024": 51265.842 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 82660.91719880348, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 33374.63457199694, "yoy_growth_pct": -59.62465007286413, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 40853.19189782699, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.407907747115672, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 41256.792062654546, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9879281056837552, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.677131281191908 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 37541.95684694344, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.00417853639609, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.000029460298293 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 146645.10715118074, "yoy_growth_pct": 290.6165780037653, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.113632907990535 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 75333.89261921804, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.62843085412041, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.2263897878366 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 179196.7442418476, "yoy_growth_pct": 137.87001840939473, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.3724648007731 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1647535.0353357245, "yoy_growth_pct": 819.400094184846, "cagr_3y_pct": 123.96957566584734 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 8841589.770300012, "yoy_growth_pct": 436.6556449889594, "cagr_3y_pct": 389.6059090794796 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 300143.6437665216, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.6053204054463, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.75894893162988 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 2134405.289135575, "yoy_growth_pct": 611.1279327294051, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.01361542735799 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 648110.6615576656, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.635070487473, "cagr_3y_pct": -58.1489586864123 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 849267.0900381211, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.03735834201482, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.43982646269171 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1316311.9964863793, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.99387788914485, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.88084238290167 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 963825.5599292293, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.778335037440904, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.143124840764564 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1705831.858118028, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.98553857020369, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.172287048990107 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 2358098.106152734, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.23742914230266, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.450976232422025 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 2422268.2379224715, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7212664139081078, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.9589906476935 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 2128219.1250593555, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.139411658029896, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.653141270498964 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 2411281.6339101633, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.30044004951385, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7462035771985231 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1345622.5175124023, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.194717921426516, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.79460184552172 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1371645.8223813518, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9339231121858536, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.62092524255667 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 2154295.835391567, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.05919124599055, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6868025051790765 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1740115.2629657048, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.22579831523373, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.947747795522032 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1319814.925435712, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.15359180366411, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2757863024828842 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 1365544.2552494989, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.46482896446183, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.09861899415148 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 824111.8440848023, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.6495689600167, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.052406223086674 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 989899.8161541783, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.117168957022802, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.142788710234584 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "export_value_usd": 965958.7597027757, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4185332758637212, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.898653211514109 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "292910", "hs_description": "Nitrogen-function compounds: n.e.c. in chapter 29, isocyanates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37439512.202306546, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "610910", "hs_description": "T-shirts, singlets and other vests: of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41654548.74114565, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.04667745705569, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6036756996735204, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "hs_code": "610510", "hs_description": "Shirts: men's or boys', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12406495.748495877, "current_below_peak_pct": 12.528033364762312, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6756173559925204, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KEN", "importer_iso3": "COL", "distance_km": 12349, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 314322.45322799997, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6131.225801928699, "importer_population": 51265.842, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 14.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 110347.079517, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2006.832203582084, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111114, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.063467751111114, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-COL/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-COL/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-COL/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-COL/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KEN-COL/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }