# Kazakhstan exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from Kazakhstan to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-UKR/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, Kazakhstan reported $85.7M in goods exports to Ukraine. The overall review level is Watch.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $85.7M | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 48.8% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 0 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 6 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.1 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 36.5% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 310230 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution | $106.9M | 49.9% | High attention |
| 2 | 720221 | Ferro-alloys: ferro-silicon, containing by weight more than 55% of silicon | $21.4M | 0% | High attention |
| 3 | 271119 | Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711 | $407.2M | 0% | Watch |
| 4 | 270112 | Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated | $306.1M | 93.6% | Watch |
| 5 | 760511 | Aluminium: (not alloyed), wire, maximum cross-sectional dimension exceeds 7mm | $30.8M | 21.1% | Watch |
| 6 | 721012 | Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, plated or coated with tin, thickness of less than 0.5mm | $50.2M | 76.7% | Watch |
| 7 | 441233 | Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut | $21.0M | 0% | High attention |
| 8 | 850710 | Electric accumulators: lead-acid, of a kind used for starting piston engines, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square) | $74.2M | 15.3% | Stable |
| 9 | 310559 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the two fertilizing elements nitrogen and phosphorus, other than nitrates and phosphates | $116.9M | 91.2% | High attention |
| 10 | 310540 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: ammonium dihydrogenorthophosphate (monoammonium phosphate) and mixtures thereof with diammonium hydrogenorthophosphate (diammonium phosphate) | $65.7M | 95.5% | High attention |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.