{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.004Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kazakhstan exports to Nigeria: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kazakhstan to Nigeria, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KAZ",
    "country_name": "Kazakhstan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "NGA",
    "country_name": "Nigeria"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 22,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1483136.4234518046,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1159142.3567421,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1439743.9007507619,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 1483136.4234518046,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 1483136.4234518046,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 3,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.540403016278619,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 6474.679509809743,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 78.15480345660643,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "310230",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1159142.3567421,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310230",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 8189.025390625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2085,
    "buyer_population_latest": 211400.711,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -17.702539793973116,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -19.412873862302447,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.1223415578896843,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.304000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.386000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 78.15480345660643,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 440776.971536,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2085,
    "buyer_population_2024": 211400.711
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1732.1389033692344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 8225.755968895683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 374.8900883696753,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1369.052876749069,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.35650994357341,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2469091.5519026187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 180250.3424765948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1025.4291486162765
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2744195.0416038777,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.141891012071682,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 593.5531011968101
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 2307688.5316809844,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.906541018592169,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1090.10603238955
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1178497.067900503,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.93171016272056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.849738131300136
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1780738.8908786941,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.10253045016795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.424483842191925
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4162207.595753747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 133.7348623694029,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.725672305383913
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1326941.8369110867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.11927789798801,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.0337995638569435
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1110542.549553789,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.308121527092812,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.563197497622971
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 15218598.72645195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1270.3751137285747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.05778267684496
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 23122362.17628936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.934896187909985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 159.2547790237543
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 6195256.947049707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.20664342243293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.3541574730849
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 869239.1233800766,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.96928051880037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -61.48869816830809
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1940430.253511632,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 123.23319341243857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.21870407112661
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 5435914.733054238,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 180.13966094461597,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.264920083328305
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 592370.0664275648,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -89.10266081207028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.999606693088726
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 89799.43306923215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.84065313921245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.0974590770393
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 38942.42719216017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.63399437929976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -80.72252596138722
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 667887.9146108886,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1615.0649375685211,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.080689376832103
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 4183.147921211666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.37367515870552,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.01872550977288
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 35839.401091798725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 756.7567240466528,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7299268825561662
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 28752.75178860134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.77334745367453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -64.95237365035085
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 345035.9987757086,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1100.0103548784284,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 335.29839140261697
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 11516.5495621373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.66221797058815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.505787137201068
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1210577.545017336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10411.634048772077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 247.88662571562134
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 25755.527555023542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -97.8724594999278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -57.89483757182873
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 800545.8748104697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3008.248794749791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 311.1698684782294
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "export_value_usd": 1943136.7091904199,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 142.72646581939608,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.08562561841176
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "310230",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13545717.877784956,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6749496938724285,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "853530",
      "hs_description": "Electrical apparatus: isolating and make-and-break switches, for a voltage exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19823574.374117862,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "NGA",
      "hs_code": "410120",
      "hs_description": "Hides and skins: raw, whole, of bovine or equine animals, of a weight per skin not exceeding 8kg when simply dried, 10kg when dry-salted or 14kg when fresh, wet-salted or otherwise preserved",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10663511.220291305,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.44082751491958744,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
    "importer_iso3": "NGA",
    "distance_km": 8187,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 440776.971536,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2085.030695738767,
    "importer_population": 211400.711,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 26.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 20.61558500268199,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-NGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-NGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-NGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-NGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-NGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}