{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:07.981Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kazakhstan exports to Hungary: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kazakhstan to Hungary, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KAZ",
    "country_name": "Kazakhstan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "HUN",
    "country_name": "Hungary"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
    "importer_iso3": "HUN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 56,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 9960738.74516885,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3456277.6428305693,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3741775.8122006007,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1399104.508938375,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3508305.6888369787,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8918967630572233,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 11.056230959750545,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2164.1713750464983,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 32.94151869580324,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 74.76639996238563,
    "top_product_hs6": "390210",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3281218.6159799136,
    "top_product_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "050510",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 4445.8505859375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.08985999971628189,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.510541852490421,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.510541852490421,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 182280.517581,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 18773,
    "buyer_population_latest": 9709.886,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.19142800064274,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.484674704790949,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.2753886462640631,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.228,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.585999999999995,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 34.69900909214119,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 182280.517581,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 18773,
    "buyer_population_2024": 9709.886
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 10253450.767633466,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 11638910.720839603,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.512133471977506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 6704360.348893344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.3970119739031,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 2586159.996910639,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.42570115078132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.8177462972783
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 6278059.362311288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 142.7560309420491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.597509239053345
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 6669486.204237928,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.234838177486335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.1736918790977815
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 10794811.530291999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.85372005766734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.01013897148482
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 18226494.857780736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.8449567334661,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.65683347468918
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 24441401.917371593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.09820213971513,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.17403710164914
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 46159481.38719493,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.85774859905777,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 62.31124867752846
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 69885994.48927692,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 51.401169140223345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.51729396140013
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 58890687.765318066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.733204920831357,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.06235306963761
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 69895460.45821935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.686779031611557,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.831935029408516
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 110818771.51510423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.54931177017879,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.611413754537963
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 49896001.48266209,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.97513570987256,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.374895410025237
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 130957370.11025353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 162.46065059092706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.280293094691928
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 104348976.70703806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.31836267085523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9852083610765292
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 93948213.15656583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.967288495480497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.48311983211484
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 55685799.885719135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.72713251829699,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.802251226764493
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 44467051.136092916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.14651629796076,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.748231329039495
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 18301859.745416317,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.84175073943434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.03014250097495
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 50397864.85788487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 175.37018400825067,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.271179569553462
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 262159096.66707122,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 420.1789746576056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.65176151599556
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 332297211.5157325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.754026749540238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 162.83134531348787
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 193950917.33003512,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.63329976638923,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.70874531732197
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 99165089.9321326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.87103845794704,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.67896612020061
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 161590242.61998314,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.95073470973864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.36253974196538
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 138007603.61894462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.594098392746746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.723519919796809
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 171693779.59585705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.40892754715456,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.078498951718714
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "export_value_usd": 11778402.6470274,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.13987805804491,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.22750447002848
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "390210",
      "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 202966987.94454518,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8149903162008592,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "050510",
      "hs_description": "Animal products: feathers and down used for stuffing, not further worked than cleaned, disinfected or treated for preservation",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48339650.872072265,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4175354575982609,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1939039327.0677497,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2995024548285974,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "271119",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum gases and other gaseous hydrocarbons: liquefied, n.e.c. in heading no. 2711",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39970654.66292756,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.82661715184435,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.28637461820131,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "841480",
      "hs_description": "Pumps and compressors: for air, vacuum or gas, n.e.s. in heading no. 8414",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 367572748.94043714,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5905406059893643,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "860721",
      "hs_description": "Railway or tramway locomotives or rolling stock: parts, air brakes and parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69807629.52918476,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9440034519261277,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "330129",
      "hs_description": "Oils, essential: n.e.s. in heading no. 3301 (terpeneless or not), including concretes and absolutes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10704710.422677288,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "441899",
      "hs_description": "Wood: builders' joinery and carpentry of wood n.e.c. in heading no. 4418, other than of bamboo or cellular wood panels",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25978031.349144455,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.253765267885082,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.037633758594381984,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "441233",
      "hs_description": "Plywood: with sheets of wood only: not bamboo: each ply 6mm or less, with at least one outer ply of alder, ash, beech, birch, cherry, chestnut, elm, eucalyptus, hickory, horse chestnut, lime, maple, oak, plane, poplar, aspen, robinia, tulipwood or walnut",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33905217.911337465,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.71340019477444,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6129196844832617,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "HUN",
      "hs_code": "843041",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10912328.162703127,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4100576860322237,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
    "importer_iso3": "HUN",
    "distance_km": 4452,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 182280.517581,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 18772.673292044827,
    "importer_population": 9709.886,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 4.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.510541852490421,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.510541852490421,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-HUN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-HUN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-HUN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-HUN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-HUN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}