{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:08.012Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Kazakhstan exports to Brunei: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Kazakhstan to Brunei, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "KAZ",
    "country_name": "Kazakhstan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "BRN",
    "country_name": "Brunei"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
    "importer_iso3": "BRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 1,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2024,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 95538070.55570094,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 95538070.55570094,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5224185672580041,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 79.35549203602854,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "270900",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 95538070.55570094,
    "top_product_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 5665.4951171875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.4000566978927202,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.4000566978927202,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 14006.569576,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 31723,
    "buyer_population_latest": 441.532,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6363175751219714,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.731441922235355,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.889474911383159,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 56.65599999999999,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 14006.569576,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 31723,
    "buyer_population_2024": 441.532
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 64971.14939854739,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 4387.1555782791565,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.24753276047592,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 4408.998724823708,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4978885784834297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 735.7252388324653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.31309930551447,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.54403609370353
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 8900.565833799896,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1109.7676366144992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.59353492881491
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 58271.57466035091,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 554.6951704920223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 136.43163941255168
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 35298.55372070058,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.42406065659594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 263.36834062053043
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 2651.046507600875,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -92.48964552888695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.216899701260395
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 6965.703268825646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 162.7529637391921,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.73905502734656
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 47430.518920601244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 580.9150072882389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.348640806756148
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 3915.4544548075855,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.74486270883509,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.881962673437842
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 17457.762234952923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 345.86809619295747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.83380553234965
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5590.536071409719,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.97678879933035,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.969627513896796
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 7530.532569555767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.701439600171554,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.36013119802345
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 144926306.77378586,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1924416.0343597746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1924.819044262038
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 184760545.30476633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.485857756078303,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3109.114851891043
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 397511869.69225156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 115.14975994282088,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3651.23959093692
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 450328185.39126396,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.286726693193351,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.92419344731222
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 462785216.3404239,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.7662116992159147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 35.80739344615744
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "export_value_usd": 95540765.36322404,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.35526849393901,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.82541836929152
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
      "importer_iso3": "BRN",
      "hs_code": "270900",
      "hs_description": "Oils: petroleum oils and oils obtained from bituminous minerals, crude",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3640592450.7823744,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 79.35549203602854,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5224185672580041,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "KAZ",
    "importer_iso3": "BRN",
    "distance_km": 5653,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 14006.569575999998,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 31722.66013788355,
    "importer_population": 441.532,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.4000566978927202,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.4000566978927202,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}