{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:10.461Z", "seo": { "title": "Kazakhstan exports to Bahrain: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Kazakhstan to Bahrain, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "KAZ", "country_name": "Kazakhstan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BHR", "country_name": "Bahrain" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "all_history_lane_count": 6, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1483186.893132945, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 563701.4555255955, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1318920.7815876454, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 795151.4637459202, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8077175284522439, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 55.37563248406951, "product_concentration_hhi": 3969.684731587248, "top1_product_share_pct": 50.91868931411573, "top3_product_share_pct": 97.3076799782446, "top_product_hs6": "760110", "top_product_trade_usd": 755219.32606205, "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 3042.666259765625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.3706535651341, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.3706535651341, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 38868.663032, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 22232, "buyer_population_latest": 1748.295, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.09682223752612, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6976782015584613, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.3757875899532923, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.208000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 45.017999999999994, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 38868.663032, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 22232, "buyer_population_2024": 1748.295 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 15073.472510417727, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 12264.49692276198, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.635225464566176, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 617.2292059723621, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.96734998704406, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 470.9941750145988, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.692176187189585, "cagr_3y_pct": -68.50312929937039 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 390.5340974770267, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.08303028059278, "cagr_3y_pct": -68.3041010836732 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1321.7537734366429, "yoy_growth_pct": 238.44772632545755, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.894592270309882 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 182153.49066712798, "yoy_growth_pct": 13681.196946653494, "cagr_3y_pct": 628.5745343017779 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 238536.94626195755, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.95381559163539, "cagr_3y_pct": 748.4616795664566 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 2862.3614014260825, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.80003435682342, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.377265975062784 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 27307.349206430386, "yoy_growth_pct": 854.0147233967502, "cagr_3y_pct": -46.87723373661336 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 511.2394191911851, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.1278321256067, "cagr_3y_pct": -87.10693340491393 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1775629.7239112274, "yoy_growth_pct": 347218.6255317307, "cagr_3y_pct": 752.8565316443551 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 14471.876722344134, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.18497215227585, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.075174782593663 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 16363.510084441823, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.071099197363022, "cagr_3y_pct": 217.5051045693968 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 46487.38370304901, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.09175942787792, "cagr_3y_pct": -70.30653362696846 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 10417.944456674368, "yoy_growth_pct": -77.5897380604986, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.377085868043046 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 48429.29784139104, "yoy_growth_pct": 364.86423538536235, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.57447425804688 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1886.8114213246038, "yoy_growth_pct": -96.1039876574217, "cagr_3y_pct": -65.63383028294989 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 2711.791793752178, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.72352017290688, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.15041166915539 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 581133.4421391936, "yoy_growth_pct": 21329.869486222866, "cagr_3y_pct": 128.94046747655122 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 2766521.0921546947, "yoy_growth_pct": 376.0560813659137, "cagr_3y_pct": 1036.0614671665169 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 2637248.276454431, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.672757278694018, "cagr_3y_pct": 890.7518493553811 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 174680.70845355175, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.37640259306961, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.01312899420039 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 28597268.807416607, "yoy_growth_pct": 16271.166032350235, "cagr_3y_pct": 117.83626933552651 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 5042092.4269644, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.36862246909135, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.113758790575957 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 271524.1575330847, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.61485164212755, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.838922737755112 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "export_value_usd": 1709334.9891317904, "yoy_growth_pct": 529.5332999692712, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.90082969841832 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "760110", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58164009.291910134, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.80992327295811, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4165301460006527, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25829573.580317836, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.87728699091055, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5407682812669279, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "760200", "hs_description": "Aluminium: waste and scrap", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37962769.29232984, "current_below_peak_pct": 18.358407317664593, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.10106940291902555, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "hs_code": "020410", "hs_description": "Meat: of sheep, lamb carcasses and half-carcasses, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11203818.464731677, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.77020253982539, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4979164510410334, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "KAZ", "importer_iso3": "BHR", "distance_km": 3041, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 38868.663032000004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 22232.325226577894, "importer_population": 1748.295, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.3706535651341, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.3706535651341, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BHR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BHR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BHR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BHR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/KAZ-BHR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }