{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.065Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Japan exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "JPN",
    "country_name": "Japan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UGA",
    "country_name": "Uganda"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 38,
    "current_lane_count": 28,
    "current_product_count": 28,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1998,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 284302290.3232424,
    "attention_trade_usd": 279243630.05506486,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 65871357.90735124,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2993188.268069569,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 277359256.88801616,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 284302290.3232424,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 11,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 14,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 13,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 23,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 28,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8076977595271463,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.853438297797297,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2230.8072598909157,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 41.59017225838794,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 66.39043451464737,
    "top_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 118241812.2799787,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870323",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 11538.798828125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.009599999524652958,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858,
    "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.22067551322712,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858,
    "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 65740356.10665948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 50380176.27934255,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.364917285200026,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 43217570.894445986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.217110605532868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 46287946.40358291,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.104461092077496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.036480919385184
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 52244863.50968618,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.869262019457794,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.218828239238623
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 40217306.711900234,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.021510613298936,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.369793016736643
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 39598540.86501506,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5385561527472502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.0699397295989375
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 46602011.77258898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.68618427493984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7382641711861564
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 52689755.654883295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.063264118299479,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.421937504572163
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 81253044.50524911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.21032702723983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.073059518931153
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 86802517.45922375,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.8298646380150485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.038931756555247
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 107064285.63691497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.34237389740381,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.659998830392297
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 151727722.5013445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.71646651236789,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.14263207959597
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 193678322.75820047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.648606045928247,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.672108310409207
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 171209199.84718007,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.601258515168055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.939390159958755
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 209133915.5806933,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.151096884609323,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.289240002124835
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 212187429.7966185,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.460076051006176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0891310513594172
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 200010176.55811813,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.738913586998173,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.319389231260452
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 215361572.83249184,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.67530759611772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.9829178320540644
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 236764351.51486713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.938067595291189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7207273612901215
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 222809300.11520776,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.894067797948499,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.663787833476939
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 193729054.65895775,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.051629999831027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4670640570067635
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 302240088.1480797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.01174985349806,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.478894655994718
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 242544495.7425423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.75105048814375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.869359619375955
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 224639139.5295793,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.3822974865483175,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0582645762262235
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 228887925.17992786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8913826233691866,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.849944299816004
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 279452129.8031168,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.091250372181335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.834766816670499
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 261927971.8133011,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.27089798963495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.252434780264492
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 276043661.6339026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.389149437870278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.443292350378926
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "export_value_usd": 318655541.02316964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.436644745634553,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.4731485986296615
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 130845575.57876068,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7820985217275728,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "720839",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of less than 3mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78513569.0630431,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 40.90082105667628,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.197682784123622,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50661740.5817501,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.12935850609588,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.35507847103789514,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25723801.903935984,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.875435413069052,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5720487668568054,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "870422",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a g.v.w. exceeding 5 tonnes but not exceeding 20 tonnes), nes in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32882093.38874358,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.66630895194674,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7184341635141384,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "720827",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, pickled, of a thickness of less than 3mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12657712.577639261,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2156045758439575,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "870210",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: public transport type (carries 10 or more passengers), compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23682581.86617606,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0.6896614854564461,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.485416031151791,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "870324",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20048976.735449318,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8606309582945988,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11005176.55393535,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.898528056904784,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5594289919128018,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
      "importer_iso3": "UGA",
      "hs_code": "382200",
      "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57426083.99383332,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.189406220816027,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0432464558908066,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "JPN",
    "importer_iso3": "UGA",
    "distance_km": 11532,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309,
    "importer_population": 47123.531,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 24,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.47315390888889,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-UGA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-UGA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-UGA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-UGA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-UGA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}