{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:54.019Z", "seo": { "title": "Japan exports to Taiwan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Japan to Taiwan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "JPN", "country_name": "Japan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TWN", "country_name": "Taiwan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "all_history_lane_count": 1609, "current_lane_count": 1584, "current_product_count": 1584, "first_observed_last_year": 2011, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 44384005614.28539, "attention_trade_usd": 17523380111.72837, "critical_trade_usd": 3737025676.0774984, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3999655593.5616693, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10996197253.793407, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 32432379.302524604, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 28382024528.403183, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 64, "high_attention_lane_count": 589, "high_volatility_lane_count": 311, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 929, "declining_demand_lane_count": 12, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1075, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6539417599978532, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.19102516543276, "product_concentration_hhi": 309.9795135870628, "top1_product_share_pct": 14.111703445717405, "top3_product_share_pct": 24.00588483109852, "top_product_hs6": "854232", "top_product_trade_usd": 6263339249.618519, "top_product_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: memories", "top_attention_product_hs6": "381800", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 2103.04736328125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 610872, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 25889, "buyer_population_latest": 23596.027, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 39.481294825017585, "critical_trade_share_pct": 8.41975757788455, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 610872, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 25889, "buyer_population_2024": 23596.027 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 28189349752.529133, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 26377856381.97722, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.426162314685491, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 28051551844.988937, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.3450776241062545, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 25934915780.60485, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.545522173177732, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.740224824327342 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 29464974527.296913, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.611221168229036, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7581429528917853 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 36849451331.19244, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.06188083432552, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.519481227596449 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 25002657776.49522, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.149172176870664, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.2128525990881989 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 26592734286.060745, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.359629939263267, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3610265381938786 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 31574262295.664536, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.732665682351367, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.019585134962757 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 42516087525.594864, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.65425455540334, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.359146684106477 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 44433496168.792145, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.509842637902639, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.663138494124464 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 44994388229.922226, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2623180921874422, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.531743150644449 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 45070636257.71216, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.16946119458343123, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9639846346840795 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 45909235117.70269, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.8606323975447259, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0950419858533733 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 36164516618.15155, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.22605282916935, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0231622771008695 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 51640866258.78538, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.79429420844518, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.640533035048766 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 50862397041.470474, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.5074673871925404, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.474242444488951 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 46224108948.23355, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.11928725941703, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.524708462146657 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 41786637241.87364, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.599907510016992, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.814579772476337 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 40313234229.6949, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5260147966687083, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.455572586339909 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 37403758323.25633, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.217173124490806, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.814380225089101 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 39629391525.200424, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.950292969784998, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7513344324346147 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 41010617057.584854, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.485356396416295, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5733432893654467 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 42952539754.72474, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.735170637430652, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.718770711891507 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 43224265463.26519, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.6326184902967436, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.9366600009554045 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 44915961884.487045, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.9137655737830235, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.0785103302285677 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 54858783130.89266, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.13649853915216, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.497344076458923 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 52845477065.14689, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6699794469411406, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.928481733664249 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 43370581586.42198, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.92943503385245, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1602783289553664 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 45453399023.950096, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.802373778128399, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.07668802033885 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "854232", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: memories", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40044198303.22221, "current_below_peak_pct": 15.9347961517788, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5350415428541354, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "848620", "hs_description": "Machines and apparatus of a kind used solely or principally for the manufacture of semiconductor devices or of electronic integrated circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10604578489.38944, "current_below_peak_pct": 42.21476773799016, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6113012989903528, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "381800", "hs_description": "Chemical elements: doped for use in electronics, in the form of discs, wafers or similar forms: chemical compounds doped for use in electronics", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2980151551.3505836, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.4230035667332992, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.474814188503373, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "854239", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27376662698.137592, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.090595450408756, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4995552875444758, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4706501448.229848, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5357064738201269, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "848690", "hs_description": "Machines and apparatus of heading 8486: parts and accessories", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5194060979.618301, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.75558080168922, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8101234219943377, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2671274270.2714467, "current_below_peak_pct": 34.80697827884828, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.896115081456729, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2111748234.7088678, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.849352512044932, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "370790", "hs_description": "Photographic goods: chemical preparations other than sensitised emulsions, put up in measured portions or put up for retail sale in a form ready for use", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 979680856.9199395, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.214227443891687, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5517769246823607, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1790302844.2094586, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5093454874667074, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "JPN", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "distance_km": 2109, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 1, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 610872, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 25888.765087444594, "importer_population": 23596.027, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 4937421.880461999, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 39285.162481125415, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TWN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TWN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TWN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TWN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/JPN-TWN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }